> ## Documentation Index
> Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://middlepowers.fyi/llms.txt
> Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.
# The Americas
> Week of May 18, 2026
## Regional Summary
**The Story Is Working. For Now.**
Governing across the Americas looks less like solving problems and more like managing the distance between the problem and the story told about it. That distance is closing.
Mark Carney is the clearest case. External threats — an Alberta government referendum on separation scheduled for October, the Pentagon pausing a bilateral defence forum dating to 1940, a trade agreement review five weeks from deadline with formal talks yet to begin — are feeding his poll numbers. Abacus Data puts his Liberals 12 points ahead of the Conservatives, with 47% of Canadians saying the country is headed in the right direction, the highest reading since 2017. He leads even on cost of living, an issue his opponents had owned. Abacus frames him as a "stabilizing force against external threats." But each crisis he is riding also binds him. Danielle Smith, Alberta's premier, is asking whether Alberta should begin the legal process toward a separation vote — a vote on whether to hold a vote, which Ms Smith says she will vote against. Quebec's three-way race tightens. Fourteen Liberal MPs from Quebec and British Columbia have warned in writing that concessions on pipelines and carbon pricing would compromise the government's credibility. British Columbia's premier told Mr Carney, before their meeting, that an energy deal with Ms Smith was "rewarding a separatist premier." The story of a leader steadying Canada against external shocks is working in the polls. The underlying negotiations — on trade, pipelines, labour relations — have barely begun.
Claudia Sheinbaum signed Mexico's expanded trade deal with the European Union in the most explicit hedge against American tariffs yet attempted in the hemisphere. António Costa, the European Council president, called it "a true geopolitical statement." The maths are less satisfying. The deal's projected gain of \$12 billion in annual EU-bound exports compares with roughly \$930 billion in US-bound trade. The same week, Moody's cut Mexico's sovereign credit rating to the bottom rung of investment grade, citing persistent fiscal weakness and continued transfers to Pemex, the state oil company. The circular logic is precise: Mexico cannot improve its credit without fixing Pemex; it will not fix Pemex because Pemex is a political commitment; the EU deal's projected gains would not touch the problem. Reuters reported that Ms Sheinbaum privately told Movement for National Regeneration (Morena) governors and lawmakers this month that officials tied to corruption must resign and face consequences. Publicly, she frames US pressure on cartels as a sovereignty violation, and a Morena-aligned legislature is writing that framing into constitutional law, including a provision to nullify elections on grounds of foreign interference. Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) negotiations open this week with the Moody's downgrade fresh, the Falcon reservoir at 15.3% capacity, and a Sinaloa governor under US indictment for cartel ties. The gap between the sovereignty narrative and what is at stake in those talks is the whole risk.
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Brazil's president, and José Antonio Kast, Chile's president, are each winning a political moment while their foundations shift. Datafolha's first post-Vorcaro survey shows Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro 40% to 31% in the first round; three weeks ago the gap was three points. But the right's ceiling holds at roughly 43% whoever leads the ticket, and 88% of Mr Bolsonaro's own voters want him to stay in the race — the movement has not broken, only the candidate. Lula is winning by default, and his net-negative government approval of 38% says so plainly. He has no candidate for Minas Gerais, Brazil's second-largest electoral college; Petrobras is absorbing roughly a billion dollars in losses selling fuel below market prices; the overdue price increase has not come. Mr Kast moved fastest of the four — firing his security minister after 69 days, the earliest reshuffle in Chile's modern democratic history — but the move did not lift his approval above 37%. His coalition handed him a written list of demands ahead of his June 1 annual address to congress. Codelco, the state copper company that generates roughly a fifth of government revenue, turns out to have falsified 26,875 tonnes of output across two divisions; his economy minister called it "out of control."
None of these leaders faces immediate collapse, and several will have good weeks ahead. The crises sustaining their narratives are the same ones requiring resolution — and resolution is harder than the story. Mr Carney's "stabilizing force" image requires a CUSMA deal, a pipeline decision that satisfies neither British Columbia nor Alberta, and a labour reform that does not fracture the union base he needs to hold. Ms Sheinbaum enters formal trade talks with a freshly downgraded sovereign rating and a corruption crisis she can only address in private. Lula's lead is borrowed from a scandal rather than earned from governance, and Petrobras's deferred price shock will land eventually. Mr Kast's second phase launches June 1 with coalition partners already presenting terms. The gap between the narrative and the governing has kept each of them afloat. It cannot widen indefinitely.
## Country Summaries
***
### 
Canada
A week after a court appeared to block Alberta's separation referendum, Danielle Smith, Alberta's premier, announced the provincial government would simply hold its own — scheduled for October 19.
Ms Smith's question asks Albertans whether the government should "commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate." It is a vote on whether to hold a vote, not a declaration of independence. Ms Smith said she will personally vote No and supports Alberta remaining in Canada. Daniel Béland, a McGill political scientist, noted the framing lets swing voters "send a political message without taking the risk of leading the province to the point of no return" — the same logic that defined the Brexit referendum. A Yes result would trigger negotiations under the 1998 Supreme Court ruling; it would not enable unilateral secession. What it would do is force the federal government to respond formally, with all the political costs that entails. Ms Smith called the prior court ruling "a legal mistake by a single judge." Mark Carney called Alberta "essential" and pointed to the recent energy deal.
The announcement restores, in full, the October 2026 convergence window the desk had partly closed last week: an Alberta government referendum on pursuing separation on October 19; a Quebec provincial election that is now, following a 9-point surge by the Coalition Avenir Québec under Christine Fréchette, the new premier, a genuine three-way race (Parti Québécois (PQ) 30%, Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) 28%, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) 22%); and a Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) review with roughly five weeks to the July 1 deadline and formal talks not yet launched. None of these is individually existential — sovereignty support in Quebec sits below 30%, Ms Smith personally opposes separation — but the machinery for a formal constitutional challenge is now in place on two fronts at once, with a trade deadline as backdrop.
The crises appear to be helping Mr Carney. Abacus Data shows Liberal approval and Mr Carney's personal ratings at new highs, with a 12-point national lead over Conservatives and 47% of Canadians saying the country is headed in the right direction — the highest since 2017. Liberals now lead Conservatives even on cost of living (45% to 32%), erasing the opposition's most durable advantage. Abacus frames Mr Carney as a "stabilizing force against external threats." The Alberta referendum and US pressure are, for now, feeding the story that drives his poll numbers.
The US added two pressure signals this week. Elbridge Colby, the US under-secretary of defence, announced the Pentagon is "pausing" participation in the Permanent Joint Board on Defence — a bilateral forum dating to 1940 — citing Canada's failure to make "credible progress on its defence commitments" and linking the decision explicitly to Mr Carney's Davos speech about diversifying alliances. Mr Carney said he "wouldn't overplay the importance of this" and pledged to deepen ties with NATO partners and Ukraine. Separately, the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) ordered streaming platforms including Netflix and Amazon Prime to contribute 15% of Canadian revenues to Canadian content funds, up from 5%. The US ambassador called the decision "making a bad situation worse." Marc Miller, the culture minister, did not endorse it, saying it is "under review" — echoing the government's earlier retreat on the digital services tax. With formal CUSMA talks not yet launched and the US and Mexico already meeting without Canada, each new friction point carries more weight.
Mr Carney's domestic coalition is also showing its first organised crack. Fourteen Liberal MPs from Quebec and BC sent a formal letter warning him that concessions on pipelines and carbon pricing would "seriously compromise" government credibility. Steven Guilbeault has spoken publicly; the others have not. The Bloc Québécois is trying to push them into the open, with Patrick Bonin, the environment critic, arguing Mr Carney "was not elected with a platform that is essentially the agenda of the oil and gas companies." Fourteen of 174 is a manageable minority, and the government's majority rules out any confidence risk, but the Bloc's strategy — forcing Liberal MPs to choose between caucus solidarity and constituency voters before the summer recess — will constrain how far the energy pivot can advance.
The pipeline dispute sharpened in Vancouver. Mr Carney warned David Eby, BC's premier, that if development stalls in the province, Ottawa will "be spending more time elsewhere." Mr Eby, before the meeting, called the Alberta energy deal "rewarding a separatist premier" and made clear he opposes an oil pipeline through northern BC, though he supports liquefied natural gas (LNG). No agreement was reached. Mr Carney dropped his prior language requiring BC's agreement — a quiet retreat that may signal he intends to proceed under federal fast-tracking authority, which would invite litigation.
The government also circulated a consultation paper on restricting the right to strike in federally regulated sectors — airlines, ports, railways, telecoms, and banking. Teamsters Canada called the proposed essential-services designations "effectively strike bans." The consultation ran four weeks, extended by one to May 25. It is pre-legislative, but the government is signalling it will use its majority to restructure labour relations in the name of economic resilience — potentially fracturing the union support that underpins the Liberal base.
April's inflation data gave the Bank of Canada room to hold. Headline consumer-price inflation came in at 2.8%, below the 3.1% consensus. More important were the core measures: CPI-trim and CPI-median averaged 2.1%, a five-year low, with services inflation at 1.7%. Capital Economics found "core price pressures nowhere to be seen." Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC), KPMG and Rosenberg Research all forecast the Bank will hold at 2.25% through year-end, reducing the risk of a rate rise that had clouded the economic outlook in recent weeks.
Largely drowned out by the Alberta story, Canada co-signed a nine-country statement — with Germany, Australia, France, Italy, New Zealand, Norway, the Netherlands, and the UK — calling Israeli settlements "unambiguously illegal under international law" and warning businesses of legal and reputational consequences. The statement goes further than Canada's previous position on settlements. It aligns Ottawa more firmly with its European partners as it cultivates those relationships as a counterweight to Washington.
* **Carney to visit New York to pitch Canada as investment destination ahead of CUSMA review** — Mr Carney announced a two-day visit to New York City (May 27–28) to meet with investors, chief executives and money managers and speak at the Economic Club of New York, framing Canada as a stable destination for capital. The trip was announced as Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement trade talks with the US remained stalled and the CRTC streaming dispute added tension. *([thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/carney-going-to-new-york-this-week-to-meet-with-business-leaders-court-investment/article_8b8d9f7f-c118-5979-98c4-e7d61c2b0b1b.html))*
* **Canada-US trade talks at impasse as CUSMA review approaches without Canada at table** — Canada-US trade negotiations are stalled, with grievances on both sides and no clear path to a deal before the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) review period. The Globe and Mail noted the US and Mexico were holding initial United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) talks in Mexico City without Canada. Politico's Canada Playbook flagged Conservative criticism of Mr Carney's rapprochement with China as a proposed hedge against the US. *([nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/carney-and-trump-are-at-an-impasse-on-trade-negotiations-whose-fault-is-it))*
* **Carney breaks ground on Quebec graphite mine as part of critical minerals strategy** — Mr Carney broke ground on the Nouveau Monde Graphite Matawinie mine in Saint-Michel-des-Saints, Quebec, promoting it as a cornerstone of Canada's critical minerals strategy capable of producing 106,000 tonnes of graphite annually and generating nearly \$2 billion for the economy. The federal government fast-tracked the project. *([ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2256414/carney-fifa-coupe-monde))*
* **Carney welcomes FIFA president to Ottawa, hoists World Cup trophy as Canada co-hosts 2026 tournament** — Mr Carney hosted Gianni Infantino, the FIFA president, in Ottawa ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which Canada co-hosts with the US and Mexico starting June 11. Mr Carney is reported to be possibly the first Canadian to hoist the World Cup trophy, an honour typically reserved for tournament winners. *([globalnews.ca](https://vancouver.citynews.ca/2026/05/21/bc-cowichan-ruling-poilievre-property-rights-first-nation/))*
* **Poilievre campaigns in BC on property rights following Indigenous land title ruling** — Pierre Poilievre, the Conservative leader, made a multi-day visit to BC to campaign on private property rights in light of a Supreme Court ruling on the Cowichan Valley land title case, calling for a Conservative motion instructing federal lawyers to prioritise property rights in court arguments. A First Nation whose rights were at issue stated there was no intent to claim private property. Mr Poilievre also called for action on BC extortion rings. *([cbc.ca](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-poilievres-inner-circle-shrinks-again-with-chief-of-staff-departure/))*
* **Poilievre loses chief of staff Ian Todd amid string of senior staff departures** — Ian Todd, Pierre Poilievre's long-serving chief of staff, announced he will retire at the end of the parliamentary sitting, the latest in a series of senior staff departures. The Globe and Mail noted the departures have lowered caucus morale as Conservative MPs track their local poll numbers. *([theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-pierre-poilievre-conservatives-carney-liberals/))*
* **Conservative Party political analysis: path back to power uncertain as Liberals dominate polls** — Multiple analysis and commentary pieces this week examined the prospects for Mr Poilievre and the Conservatives to mount a comeback against a government with 67% approval ratings. The Globe editorial board and National Post both concluded that Canadians are not yet ready to return to the Conservatives, despite opportunities on child care, spending and economic policy. *([canada.ca](https://www.canada.ca/en/innovation-science-economic-development/news/2026/05/minister-joly-announces-major-federal-investment-of-762-million-in-tenariss-project-to-modernize-and-diversify-its-steel-production.html))*
* **Foreign minister announces \$76.2m federal investment in Tenaris steel plant in Sault Ste. Marie** — Mélanie Joly, the foreign minister, announced a \$76.2m federal investment through the Strategic Response Fund in Tenaris's Sault Ste. Marie steel facility, part of a broader \$306m expansion. Ontario Premier Doug Ford and provincial ministers also attended. The announcement was framed as strengthening Canadian steel capacity during the US tariff dispute. *([ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2256246/souverainete-revolution-tranquille-oui-quebec))*
* **Quebec sovereignty movement OUI Québec releases civil society report calling for 'Quiet Revolution 2.0'** — The sovereigntist organisation OUI Québec held a weekend gathering in Montreal and released a report based on consultations with 50 civil society organisations, concluding that Quebec's independence movement has replaced pride with insularity and must better include newcomers. The group called for a sovereignty project driven by civil society rather than political parties, ahead of Quebec's October provincial election. *([globalnews.ca](https://globalnews.ca/news/11856352/carney-quebec-mine/))*
* **Federal NDP elects Avi Lewis as leader, appoints Matthew Green as interim national director** — New Democratic Party (NDP) delegates gathered in Winnipeg to elect a new leader and rebuild after falling to seven seats in the last election. Avi Lewis won the leadership race. Former Hamilton Centre MP Matthew Green was appointed as interim national director for three months. Mr Lewis pushed back against characterisations that the party is on 'life support.' *([cpac.ca](https://www.cpac.ca/articles/2026_ndp_leadership))*
* **BC Conservative Party leadership vote underway amid late controversy over candidate Kerry-Lynne Findlay** — Voting opened in the BC Conservative Party leadership race on May 23 with five candidates on the ballot. A late controversy arose over whether to disqualify candidate Kerry-Lynne Findlay over allegations tied to her failed federal re-election campaign, but she was ultimately allowed to remain on the ballot. The winner is to be announced May 30. *([vancouver.citynews.ca](https://cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-conservative-leadership-vote-9.7210217))*
* **RCMP refuses to release full text of China policing agreement despite Conservative and NDP demands** — The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) declined to release the full memorandum of understanding it signed with China's Ministry of Public Security in January, saying it required Beijing's consent, despite public letters from Conservative and NDP MPs demanding transparency. The agreement 'outlines specific forms of mutual collaboration' but no further details were provided.
* [Echoes of Brexit as Alberta blunders towards vote on separation from Canada — theguardian.com](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/24/alberta-separation-referendum-canada)
* [Alberta province plans a public vote on whether to hold a binding referendum on leaving Canada — apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/canada-alberta-referendum-smith-3169b3d9fefac0c62ebedcbdb2ff876c)
* [Canada's Carney says Alberta is 'essential' as province mulls separation — aljazeera.com](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/22/canadas-carney-says-alberta-is-essential-as-province-mulls-separation)
* [Carney says Alberta is 'essential' to Canada after separation vote announcement — bbc.com](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy42w778e72o)
* [Canada, Alberta separation: Mark Carney wants to work with Danielle Smith — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/alberta-essential-to-improving-canada-the-best-country-in-the-world-pm-carney/)
* [Carney 'working with Alberta' in wake of Smith referendum announcement — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/mark-carney-danielle-smith-referendum)
* [Alberta must be 'at the centre' of making Canada better, Carney says — globalnews.ca](https://globalnews.ca/news/11860220/alberta-separatism-referendum-mark-carney/)
* [Carney says Alberta plays 'essential' role in building Canada after premier announces referendum question — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/alberta-referendum-carney-9.7208441)
* [Carney says 'Canada is working', as Alberta readies for vote on separation referendum — thecanadianpressnews.ca](https://www.thecanadianpressnews.ca/prairies_bc/alberta/carney-says-canada-is-working-as-alberta-readies-for-vote-on-separation-referendum/article_bff99a82-45dc-5158-ad6f-515ecfc1ef82.html)
* [Carney Says Alberta Is 'Essential' to Canada After Separation Vote Announcement — time.com](https://time.com/article/2026/05/22/carney-canada-alberta-separation-vote-referendum-response/)
* [Politics Insider: Carney presses the case for national unity — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-politics-insider-carney-presses-the-case-for-national-unity/)
* [Carney vows a better Canada after Alberta plans a vote on seeking independence — independent.co.uk](https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/canada-mark-carney-alberta-toronto-brexit-b2982091.html)
* [Canadian unity suddenly needs a hero. Can Mark Carney be that guy? — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/canadian-unity-suddenly-needs-a-hero-can-mark-carney-be-that-guy/article_16663693-6b0a-4976-a2aa-0e2cb27083c1.html)
* [Carney au service de l'Alberta — journaldemontreal.com](https://www.journaldemontreal.com/2026/05/23/carney-au-service-de-lalberta)
* [Référendum : Mark Carney appelle les Albertains à 'rénover' le pays avec lui — ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2255987/referendum-mark-carney-alberta)
* [Référendum en Alberta | 'Le Canada fonctionne', lance Mark Carney — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/politique/2026-05-22/referendum-en-alberta/le-canada-fonctionne-lance-mark-carney.php)
* [Que comprendre du référendum annoncé en Alberta? — ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/en-bref/90-16190/referendum-alberta-separation-canada)
* [Poilievre says all Conservatives will campaign for Alberta to stay part of Canada — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/poilievre-says-all-conservatives-will-campaign-for-alberta-to-stay-part-of-canada/)
* [Poilievre vows to make the case for unity to Albertans — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-pierre-poilievre-unity-to-alberta-separatism-conservative-leader/)
* [Poilievre vows to make the case for unity to Albertans (duplicate URL) — theglobeandmail.com](https://theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-pierre-poilievre-unity-to-alberta-separatism-conservative-leader)
* [Poilievre says he'll campaign to keep Alberta in the 'Canadian family' as a referendum looms — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/pierre-poilievre-campaign-alberta-separatism-9.7207425)
* [Référendums potentiels: Poilievre fera campagne pour l'unité canadienne — lactualite.com](https://lactualite.com/actualites/referendums-potentiels-poilievre-fera-campagne-pour-lunite-canadienne/)
* [Potentiels référendums | Pierre Poilievre fera campagne pour l'unité canadienne — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/politique/2026-05-21/potentiels-referendums/pierre-poilievre-fera-campagne-pour-l-unite-canadienne.php)
* ['Absolutely no separation movement whatsoever in Alberta' under Harper: Poilievre — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/video/2026/05/21/absolutely-no-separation-movement-whatsoever-in-alberta-under-harper-poilievre/)
* [Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre supports a 'united Canada' — crestonvalleyadvance.ca](https://crestonvalleyadvance.ca/2026/05/22/conservative-leader-pierre-poilievre-supports-a-united-canada/)
* [Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre supports a 'united Canada' — thefreepress.ca](https://thefreepress.ca/2026/05/22/conservative-leader-pierre-poilievre-supports-a-united-canada)
* [Poilievre says he'll be campaigning 'across Alberta' for Canada — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/poilievre-says-hell-be-campaigning-across-alberta-for-canadian-unity)
* [Poilievre Gets Pulled Into Alberta's 'Brexit' Fight as Separation Vote Turns Chaotic — hashtaginvesting.com](https://www.hashtaginvesting.com/blog/poilievre-gets-pulled-into-albertas-brexit-fight-as-separation-vote-turns-chaotic)
* ['As Prime Minister in waiting, I will be campaigning in Alberta': Poilievre all for 'Canadian Unity' — economictimes.indiatimes.com](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/as-prime-minister-in-waiting-i-will-be-campaigning-in-alberta-poilievre-all-for-canadian-unity/videoshow/131266784.cms)
* [Alberta premier says she'll campaign for pro-Canada side but wants referendum question to resolve debate — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/livestory/alberta-separation-referendum-leaders-speak-9.7208764)
* [Smith says Alberta separatists should focus on fall vote rather than ousting her — chroniclejournal.com](https://www.chroniclejournal.com/news/national/smith-says-alberta-separatists-should-focus-on-fall-vote-rather-than-ousting-her/article_30e23c65-c026-555a-8922-e2105c77c6b1.html)
* [Smith says Alberta separatists should aim to win fall vote and respect the result — chroniclejournal.com](https://www.chroniclejournal.com/news/national/smith-says-alberta-separatists-should-aim-to-win-fall-vote-and-respect-the-result/article_30e23c65-c026-555a-8922-e2105c77c6b1.html)
* [Alberta To Hold Referendum On Secession On Oct 19 — joemygod.com](https://www.joemygod.com/2026/05/alberta-to-hold-referendum-on-secession-on-oct-19/)
* [Alberta is to vote on whether to hold a separation referendum. Here's how we got here — kelownadailycourier.ca](https://www.kelownadailycourier.ca/news/national_news/article_10cb0c41-ecfb-51c8-9c92-7f4651d446fc.html)
* [Alberta premier stakes political future on Canada secession vote — thederrick.com](https://www.thederrick.com/news/entertainment/alberta-premier-stakes-political-future-on-canada-secession-vote/article_f62e6757-b751-5f57-be7d-26b4f0fa0d74.html)
* [Alberta Premier Smith announces referendum to stay in Canada — or to have another referendum — calgaryherald.com](https://calgaryherald.com/news/local-news/alberta-premier-danielle-smith-referendum-separation)
* [Hundreds of supporters gather for Forever Canadian office opening — edmontonjournal.com](https://edmontonjournal.com/news/local-news/hundreds-of-supporters-gather-for-forever-canadian-office-opening)
* [NDP leader Naheed Nenshi answers questions with supporters about Alberta Premier Danielle Smith referendum proposal — reutersconnect.com](https://www.reutersconnect.com/item/ndp-leader-naheed-nenshi-answers-questions-with-supporters-about-alberta-premier-danielle-smith-and-her-referendum-question-proposal-for-the-province-in-calgary/dGFnOnJldXRlcnMuY29tLDIwMjY6bmV3c21sX1JDMkhFTEEwTDZMNg)
* [NDP worried UCP government may be forging ahead with referendum on Alberta's future — globalnews.ca](https://globalnews.ca/news/11855964/ndp-worried-ucp-government-forging-ahead-referendum-question/)
* [Nenshi claims Smith will use Lukaszuk's petition to appease Alberta independence supporters — westernstandard.news](https://www.westernstandard.news/alberta/nenshi-claims-smith-will-use-lukaszuks-petition-to-appease-alberta-independence-supporters/73589)
* [Alberta government faces criticism over proposed separation referendum — mylethbridgenow.com](https://www.mylethbridgenow.com/62502/news/provincial/alberta-government-faces-criticism-over-proposed-separation-referendum/)
* [Smith says Alberta separatists should focus on fall vote rather than ousting her — thecanadianpressnews.ca](https://www.thecanadianpressnews.ca/prairies_bc/alberta/smith-says-alberta-separatists-should-focus-on-fall-vote-rather-than-ousting-her/article_bff99a82-45dc-5158-ad6f-515ecfc1ef82.html)
* [US suspends joint defence effort with Canada dating back to World War II — aljazeera.com](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/18/us-suspends-joint-defence-effort-with-canada-dating-back-to-world-war-ii)
* [Carney downplays Washington's decision to pause bilateral defence board — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/carney-canada-us-defence-board-9.7204732)
* [Donald Trump-Mark Carney feud: US pulls out of joint military board with Canada — thehill.com](https://thehill.com/policy/defense/5885864-trump-carney-defense-feud/)
* [Time for Carney to give up trying to send Trump a message over F-35s — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/opinion/david-bercuson-time-for-carney-to-give-up-trying-to-send-trump-a-message-over-f-35s)
* [DAVID KRAYDEN: Carney could get Canada kicked out of NORAD as US reconsiders relationship — humanevents.com](https://humanevents.com/2026/05/21/david-krayden-carney-could-get-canada-kicked-out-of-norad-as-us-reconsiders-relationship)
* [It's a failure, but Trump isn't dropping his anti-Canada campaign — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-trump-anti-canada-campaign-trade-defence-carney/)
* [Carney going to New York this week to meet with business leaders, court investment — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/carney-going-to-new-york-this-week-to-meet-with-business-leaders-court-investment/article_8b8d9f7f-c118-5979-98c4-e7d61c2b0b1b.html)
* [PM Carney to pitch Canada to CEOs, investors ahead of CUSMA review period — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/article/carney-going-to-new-york-this-week-to-meet-with-business-leaders-court-investment/)
* [Mission de deux jours | Carney à New York pour stimuler les investissements — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/affaires/economie/2026-05-24/mission-de-deux-jours/carney-a-new-york-pour-stimuler-les-investissements.php)
* [Mark Carney's New York Visit Aims to Boost Canadian Investment — gurufocus.com](https://www.gurufocus.com/news/8878973/mark-carneys-new-york-visit-aims-to-boost-canadian-investment)
* [Poilievre comes out swinging against CRTC's 'Netflix tax,' says it could lead to U.S. retaliation — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/pierre-poilievre-netflix-tax-crtc-9.7210101)
* [Craignant des représailles américaines, Poilievre attaque la 'taxe Netflix' du CRTC — ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2256428/poilievre-crtc-craintes-represailles-americaines-taxe-netflix)
* [Carney government reviewing decision to fund Canadian content online amid U.S. trade tensions — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/carney-government-reviewing-spending-requirement-for-us-streaming-platforms/article_9f03e10f-4be0-49fc-b2b2-ab4b8efc968d.html)
* [As US accuses Canada of targeting and taxing American companies, Canada retaliates — timesofindia.indiatimes.com](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/as-us-accuses-canada-of-targeting-and-taxing-american-companies-canada-retaliates-says-we-are-applying-canadian-law-in-/articleshow/131283206.cms)
* [Carney and Trump are at an impasse on trade negotiations. Whose fault is it? — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/carney-and-trump-are-at-an-impasse-on-trade-negotiations-whose-fault-is-it)
* [Carney walks a tightrope on Fortress North America as trade review looms — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-carney-walks-a-tightrope-on-fortress-north-america-as-trade-review/)
* [The CAQ came back — POLITICO Canada Playbook — politico.com](https://politico.com/newsletters/canada-playbook/2026/05/21/the-caq-came-back-00931475)
* [Canadian Politics: Carney Government Approval and Liberal Lead Reach New Highs — abacusdata.ca](https://abacusdata.ca/canadian-politics-carney-government-approval-and-liberal-lead-reach-new-highs-as-optimism-about-canada-improves/)
* [Polls suggest Mark Carney would increase majority if election held now — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/polls-suggest-mark-carney-would-increase-majority-if-election-held-now/article_9d07eb3f-6c3b-4010-9239-1d41cb265aa5.html)
* [Just how popular are Carney's Liberals right now? — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/interactives/canadian-federal-politics-election-forecast/article_1337f598-2b2e-4b63-b5ee-0e923c663892.html)
* [Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives By 9 — press.liaisonstrategies.ca](https://press.liaisonstrategies.ca/federal-tracker-liberals-lead-conservatives-by-9/)
* [Highest proportion of people since 2017 say Canada is on the right track: poll — kelownadailycourier.ca](https://www.kelownadailycourier.ca/news/national_news/article_3edcad84-aed0-5b2e-9237-b94635156d6c.html)
* [Politique | Mais quel est le secret de Carney? — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/dialogue/chroniques/2026-05-22/politique/mais-quel-est-le-secret-de-carney.php)
* [Vin de serpent (Carney's global repositioning and popularity) — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/dialogue/chroniques/2026-05-24/vin-de-serpent.php)
* [14 Liberal MPs pen letter to Carney raising concerns over environmental backslide — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/liberal-mp-react-alberta-deal-carney-9.7208157)
* [Entente avec l'Alberta : le malaise se répand chez les libéraux — ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2255864/liberaux-alberta-entente-carney-smith)
* [Sharan Kaur: Why the 14 Liberal MPs need to own their dissent on the Carney-Smith deal — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/article/sharan-kaur-why-the-14-liberal-mps-need-to-own-their-dissent-on-the-carney-smith-deal/)
* [Fourteen Liberal MPs Warned Carney the Alberta Pipeline Deal Threatens Party Credibility — thedeepdive.ca](https://thedeepdive.ca/fourteen-liberal-mps-warned-carney-the-alberta-pipeline-deal-threatens-party-credibility/)
* [Mark Carney seeks B.C. major projects deal while signalling urgency on development agenda — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/we-need-to-move-forward-mark-carney-urges-bc-premier-to-get-on-board-with-development-agenda/article_b5f003c5-788f-4551-8e93-5d5fdcdeedf6.html)
* [Carney cautions B.C. not to drag out pipeline debate — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-carney-cautions-bc-not-to-stall-on-pipeline/)
* [Carney says the world is facing an 'energy crisis' and Canada must help solve it — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/carney-touts-energy-bc-meeting-premier-david-eby-9.7206113)
* [Carney lays out pipeline conditions as Eby flags negotiations on B.C.'s priorities — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/vancouver/article/carney-lays-out-pipeline-conditions-ahead-of-meeting-with-bc-premier-eby/)
* ['We don't want to hear what people are against,' Carney tells Vancouver audience after pipeline criticism — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/we-dont-want-to-hear-what-people-are-against-carney-tells-vancouver-audience-after-pipeline-criticism)
* [Mark Carney takes jab at Donald Trump after teleprompter goes down — thehill.com](https://thehill.com/policy/international/5888524-carney-teleprompter-trump-reference/)
* [Carney accueille le président de la FIFA à Ottawa — ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2256414/carney-fifa-coupe-monde)
* [Soc-WCup-Carney — ca.news.yahoo.com](https://ca.news.yahoo.com/soc-wcup-carney-193943434.html)
* [Carney welcomes World Cup to Ottawa as Canada prepares to host matches next month — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/sports/soccer/carney-welcomes-world-cup-to-ottawa-as-canada-prepares-to-host-matches-next-month/article_f43d91c8-fc67-5167-9e3d-4dc51c35f5e1.html)
* [Prime Minister Carney welcomes the FIFA World Cup to Canada — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/toronto/video/2026/05/24/pm-carney-welcomes-the-fifa-world-cup-to-canada/)
* [FIFA World Cup: Mark Carney welcomes trophy to Ottawa — cjme.com](https://www.cjme.com/2026/05/24/fifa-world-cup-mark-carney-welcomes-trophy-to-ottawa/)
* [Coupe du monde 2026 | Carney se réjouit de l'arrivée du trophée à Ottawa — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/sports/soccer/2026-05-24/coupe-du-monde-2026/carney-se-rejouit-de-l-arrivee-du-trophee-a-ottawa.php)
* [Unions warn Carney government is considering sweeping changes to labour law — including the right to strike — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-labour-code-consultations-right-to-strike-9.7209196)
* [Carney government eying curbs on right to strike, labour leaders warn — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/carney-government-eying-curbs-on-right-to-strike-labour-leaders-warn/article_5923c835-c7b2-4420-84ed-0f41ff90074b.html)
* [Unions warn Carney plans to curb the right to strike + a Bay St. condo sold for a \$350k loss — thestar.com](https://www.thestar.com/news/morning-digest/unions-warn-carney-plans-to-curb-the-right-to-strike--a-bay-st-condo-sold-for-a-350k-loss/article_9e76027d-50e5-4155-9720-874ac43c5604.html)
* [Pierre Poilievre in North Vancouver to make announcement on property rights — globalnews.ca](https://globalnews.ca/news/11859334/pierre-poilievre-bc-announcement-property-rights/)
* [Poilievre demands Ottawa protect private property during North Vancouver stop — nsnews.com](https://www.nsnews.com/local-news/conservative-leader-poilievre-demands-ottawa-protect-private-property-during-north-van-stop-12313257)
* [Why Conservatives say Ottawa's legal strategy failed property owners in the Cowichan case — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/vancouver/article/why-conservatives-say-ottawas-legal-strategy-failed-property-owners-in-the-cowichan-case/)
* [Poilievre pushes property rights, First Nation says no intent to claim private property — vancouver.citynews.ca](https://vancouver.citynews.ca/2026/05/21/bc-cowichan-ruling-poilievre-property-rights-first-nation/)
* [Pierre Poilievre hosts town hall on Cowichan ruling ahead of vote on Monday — cheknews.ca](https://cheknews.ca/pierre-poilievre-hosts-town-hall-on-cowichan-ruling-ahead-of-vote-on-monday-1326379/)
* [Despite continued rhetoric and red herrings from Federal and Provincial Conservatives, private property rights not at risk — newswire.ca](https://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/despite-continued-rhetoric-and-red-herrings-from-federal-and-provincial-conservatives-private-property-rights-not-at-risk-861339196.html)
* [Poilievre to launch next phase in bid to pressure Liberals to 'put private property first' — ipolitics.ca](https://www.ipolitics.ca/2026/05/21/poilievre-to-launch-next-phase-in-bid-to-pressure-liberals-to-put-private-property-first/)
* [Pierre Poilievre pledges to protect B.C. property owners — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/vancouver/video/2026/05/22/pierre-poilievre-pledges-to-protect-bc-property-owners/)
* [Poilievre's property rights push — vancouver.citynews.ca](https://vancouver.citynews.ca/video/2026/05/22/poilievres-property-rights-push/)
* [B.C. extortion crisis is Carney's fault: Poilievre — mapleridgenews.com](https://mapleridgenews.com/2026/05/22/b-c-extortion-crisis-is-carneys-fault-poilievre/)
* [Poilievre names new chief of staff after Ian Todd announces retirement — cbc.ca](https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/poilievre-chief-of-staff-9.7205323)
* [Poilievre's inner circle shrinks again with chief of staff's departure — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-poilievres-inner-circle-shrinks-again-with-chief-of-staff-departure/)
* [Shake-up in Poilievre's office as chief of staff Ian Todd announces retirement — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/shake-up-in-poilievres-office-with-chief-of-staff-ian-todd-retires)
* [The moment is not quite ready to meet Pierre Poilievre — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-pierre-poilievre-conservatives-carney-liberals/)
* [A recipe for a Poilievre comeback — with history as his guide — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/news/canada/pierre-poilievre-needs-a-historic-comeback-heres-how-he-can-do-it)
* [An interview with Pierre Poilievre — Globe editorial board — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/podcasts/the-decibel/article-an-interview-with-pierre-poilievre/)
* [Randall Denley: Ontario faces child-care chaos as Carney loses interest in backing Trudeau's \$10 dream — nationalpost.com](https://nationalpost.com/opinion/randall-denley-ontario-faces-child-care-chaos-as-carney-loses-interest-in-backing-trudeaus-10-dream)
* [Rising oil prices complicate Bank of Canada rate path — bnnbloomberg.ca](https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/investing/market-outlook/2026/05/19/market-outlook-canada-inflation-climbs-as-energy-prices-fuel-rate-fears/)
* [Inflation data gives Bank of Canada more flexibility to hold interest rates, economists say — financialpost.com](https://financialpost.com/news/inflation-data-gives-bank-of-canada-more-flexibility)
* [Experts see little case for rate hikes despite inflation climbing to 2.8% — wealthprofessional.ca](https://www.wealthprofessional.ca/news/industry-news/experts-see-little-case-for-rate-hikes-despite-inflation-climbing-to-28/392494)
* [Canadian inflation rises to 2.8% while core measures ease — canadianmortgagetrends.com](https://www.canadianmortgagetrends.com/2026/05/canadian-inflation-rises-to-2-8-while-core-measures-ease/)
* [Canadian Inflation Surges To 23-Month High, Data Shows It's Higher — betterdwelling.com](https://betterdwelling.com/canadian-inflation-surges-to-23-month-high-data-shows-its-higher/)
* [Higher Canada retail sales still unlikely to spur a BoC cut soon — mpamag.com](https://www.mpamag.com/ca/mortgage-industry/industry-trends/higher-canada-retail-sales-still-unlikely-to-spur-a-boc-cut-soon/576338)
* [Bank of Canada to stay on sidelines as energy shock fades — mpamag.com](https://www.mpamag.com/ca/mortgage-industry/industry-trends/bank-of-canada-to-stay-on-sidelines-as-energy-shock-fades/575811)
* [Desjardins: Inflation data buys Bank of Canada time — financialpost.com](https://financialpost.com/news/economy/desjardins-inflation-data-bank-canada-time)
* [Inflation data buys Bank of Canada time (Yahoo Finance video) — ca.finance.yahoo.com](https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/video/inflation-data-buys-bank-canada-121849504.html)
* [Calendar: What investors need to know for the week ahead (Bank of Canada FSR listed) — theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/inside-the-market/article-calendar-what-investors-need-to-know-for-the-week-ahead-141/)
* [Minister Joly announces major federal investment of \$76.2 million in Tenaris's project to modernize and diversify its steel production — canada.ca](https://www.canada.ca/en/innovation-science-economic-development/news/2026/05/minister-joly-announces-major-federal-investment-of-762-million-in-tenariss-project-to-modernize-and-diversify-its-steel-production.html)
* [Minister Joly to announce a Strategic Response Fund investment to advance Tenaris's steel production capabilities — canada.ca](https://canada.ca/en/innovation-science-economic-development/news/2026/05/minister-joly-to-announce-a-strategic-response-fund-investment-to-advance-tenariss-steel-production-capabilities.html)
* [Ford, Fedeli, Joly coming to the Sault on Friday — sootoday.com](https://www.sootoday.com/local-news/ford-fedeli-joly-coming-to-the-sault-on-friday-12313716)
* [Major investment in Tenaris will 'maximize productivity': company president — sootoday.com](https://www.sootoday.com/local-news/feds-investing-306-million-into-tenaris-for-expansion-12315532)
* [Ontario's freedom of information freeze lifted (includes Tenaris announcement context) — torontotoday.ca](https://www.torontotoday.ca/local/more-news/ontarios-freedom-of-information-freeze-lifted-privacy-commissioner-12320203)
* [La ministre Joly annonce un investissement fédéral majeur de 76,2 millions de dollars dans un projet de Tenaris — canada.ca](https://www.canada.ca/fr/innovation-sciences-developpement-economique/nouvelles/2026/05/la-ministre-joly-annonce-un-investissement-federal-majeur-de-762-millions-de-dollars-dans-un-projet-de-tenaris-visant-a-moderniser-et-a-diversifier.html)
* [La souveraineté passe par une Révolution tranquille 2.0, selon OUI Québec — ici.radio-canada.ca](https://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelle/2256246/souverainete-revolution-tranquille-oui-quebec)
* [Rapport sur la souveraineté du Québec | 'Nous avons remplacé la fierté par la fermeture' — lapresse.ca](https://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/politique/2026-05-23/rapport-sur-la-souverainete-du-quebec/nous-avons-remplace-la-fierte-par-la-fermeture.php)
* [Rassemblement pour repenser l'avenir du Québec — journaldequebec.com](https://journaldequebec.com/2026/05/24/appel-a-lunite-un-grand-rassemblement-souverainiste-pour-repenser-lavenir-du-quebec)
* [Un mouvement indépendantiste appelle à une 'Révolution tranquille 2.0' — lapresse.ca](https://lapresse.ca/actualites/2026-05-24/un-mouvement-independantiste-appelle-a-une-revolution-tranquille-2-0.php)
* [Chronique de Michel David | Un air de déjà-vu pour le Parti québécois — ledevoir.com](https://ledevoir.com/opinion/chroniques/982352/air-deja-vu)
* [Intentions de vote au Québec : une lutte à trois se dessine à l'approche de 2026 — leger360.com](https://leger360.com/fr/intentions-de-vote-au-quebec-lutte-a-trois-mai-2026)
* [Mise à jour Qc125 : La CAQ n'a peut-être pas dit son dernier mot — qc125.ca](https://qc125.ca/p/mise-a-jour-qc125-la-caq-na-peut)
* [Chronique de Michel David | Un air de déjà-vu pour le Parti québécois (Léger poll) — ledevoir.com](https://ledevoir.com/opinion/chroniques/982352/air-deja-vu)
* [Libman: Only certainty in Quebec election is uncertainty — montrealgazette.com](https://montrealgazette.com/opinion/columnists/libman-only-certainty-in-quebec-election-is-uncertainty/)
* ['Get organized,' minister tells businesses ahead of defence projects — cabinradio.ca](https://cabinradio.ca/291530/news/politics/get-organized-minister-says-to-businesses-ahead-of-defence-projects/)
* [Ottawa and GN spending \$2 million on marine training for more than 24 students — nunavutnews.com](https://nunavutnews.com/2026/05/21/ottawa-and-gn-spending-2-million-on-marine-training-for-more-than-24-students/)
* [Carney touts new construction at Quebec mine after fast-tracking major project — globalnews.ca](https://globalnews.ca/news/11856352/carney-quebec-mine/)
* [Mark Carney donne le coup d'envoi pour la mine de graphite — laction.com](https://www.laction.com/article/actualites/mark-carney-donne-le-coup-denvoi-pour-la-mine-de-graphite/)
* [2026 NDP Convention and Leadership — cpac.ca](https://www.cpac.ca/articles/2026_ndp_leadership)
* [2026 NDP Convention and Leadership (duplicate URL) — cpac.ca](https://cpac.ca/articles/2026_ndp_leadership)
* [Former MP Matthew Green named interim NDP national director — thespec.com](https://www.thespec.com/life/hamilton-region/matthew-green-appointed-ndp-director/article_adfec71e-4514-590b-8f59-db0f7f87590e.html)
* [NDP announces appointment of Matthew Green as Interim National Director — ndp.ca](https://www.ndp.ca/news/ndp-announces-appointment-matthew-green-interim-national-director)
* [Voting open BC Conservative leadership race, winner announced May 30 — vancouver.citynews.ca](https://vancouver.citynews.ca/2026/05/23/bc-conservative-leadership-race/)
* [Voting opens in B.C. Conservative leadership race, winner to be announced May 30 — ctvnews.ca](https://www.ctvnews.ca/vancouver/politics/article/voting-opens-in-bc-conservative-leadership-race-winner-to-be-announced-may-30/)
* [B.C. Conservative leadership vote begins amid late controversy involving candidate — cbc.ca](https://cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/b-c-conservative-leadership-vote-9.7210217)
* [Findlay stays on BC Conservative leadership ballot after tumultuous week — theprogress.com](https://theprogress.com/2026/05/22/breaking-findlay-stays-on-bc-conservative-leadership-ballot-after-tumultous-week)
* ['I will never back down': Former Surrey MP Findlay stays on BC Conservative ballot — agassizharrisonobserver.com](https://agassizharrisonobserver.com/2026/05/22/breaking-findlay-stays-on-bc-conservative-leadership-ballot-after-tumultous-week)
* [Elliott talks DRIPA, energy as Tory leadership race continues — princegeorgecitizen.com](https://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/local-news/elliott-talks-dripa-energy-as-tory-leadership-race-continues-12277147)
***
### 
Mexico
Mexico's biggest trade deal in decades and its worst credit event of the Sheinbaum presidency arrived in the same week. They are the same story.
Claudia Sheinbaum signed the EU-Mexico Modernised Global Agreement at the Palacio Nacional on May 22, alongside Ursula von der Leyen, the European Commission president, and António Costa, the European Council president — the first Mexico-EU summit in more than a decade. The deal expands the 2000 accord to cover services, digital trade, government procurement, investment, and agricultural goods; Mexico's economy ministry projects the country's exports to the EU rising from \$24 billion to \$36 billion annually by 2030. Mr Costa called it "a true geopolitical statement" and "preparation for the challenges of our time." Both governments made the subtext explicit: this is a hedge against US tariffs hitting Mexican automotive, steel, and aluminium exports.
What that framing obscures is the maths. The projected \$12 billion gain in EU-bound exports compares with roughly \$930 billion in annual US-bound trade. Even if every projection holds, the deal barely shifts Mexico's export concentration. That structure will not shift soon — and Moody's said the same thing more bluntly.
The ratings agency cut Mexico's sovereign rating from Baa2 to Baa3, the bottom rung of investment grade, citing persistent fiscal weakness, rigid spending, and continued state transfers to Pemex. The downgrade triggered cascading cuts for the state electricity utility (CFE) and eight major commercial and development banks: BBVA México, Banorte, Santander, Banamex, the National Foreign Trade Bank (Bancomext), and Nacional Financiera (Nafin). Moody's preserved Pemex's B1 rating only on the assumption that the government would keep subsidising it — the same transfers Moody's cited as the reason the sovereign cannot be rated higher. Mexico cannot fix its credit without fixing Pemex; it will not fix Pemex because Pemex is a political commitment. The EU deal's projected gains would not touch the problem.
Reuters reported this week — confirmed by two party sources — that Ms Sheinbaum privately told governors from the Movement for National Regeneration (Morena) at a National Palace meeting on May 15, and Morena lawmakers on May 7, that officials tied to corruption must resign and face consequences. "We must guarantee the future of Morena," she reportedly said. Neither the presidency nor the party responded to Reuters. The private message diverges sharply from her public posture, which frames US pressure as a sovereignty violation. Party sources also told Reuters there is growing internal fear that Washington could designate Morena itself as a Foreign Terrorist Organization under the material support framework already applied to six Mexican cartels — a risk Ms Sheinbaum publicly dismisses.
The Rocha crisis also exposed a cabinet failure. Omar García Harfuch, the security minister, initially confirmed that Rubén Rocha Moya, the Sinaloa governor on leave and under US indictment for cartel ties, held a federal National Guard protection detail. Both he and Ms Sheinbaum then denied it. The contradiction is documented across multiple outlets. Whether the original statement reflected genuine confusion inside the security apparatus or deliberate deception remains unresolved; it will be used regardless.
On two other fronts the government moved with more assurance. The attorney general's office summoned María Eugenia "Maru" Campos, the Chihuahua governor, and former state prosecutor César Jáuregui to testify on May 27 about a Sierra Tarahumara operation in which CIA agents worked without federal knowledge. Jorge Romero, the leader of the National Action Party (PAN), called it political persecution — a PAN governor summoned for taking part in a narco-lab raid while a Morena governor under US indictment faces no federal investigation. Ms Sheinbaum called it routine procedure. The gap between those two descriptions is the whole argument.
Markwayne Mullin, the US homeland security secretary, met Ms Sheinbaum for the first time since taking office in March, with Mexico's full security cabinet present: Mr García Harfuch, the defence and navy ministries, Rosa Icela Rodríguez of the interior ministry, and foreign ministry representation. Ms Sheinbaum said the US "accepted" that foreign agents cannot operate on Mexican soil and that there is "no subordination." Both sides agreed to a follow-on meeting in June. Mr Mullin's public language — "iron fist against narcoterrorism" — differed from the official communiqués, but the monthly coordination schedule was confirmed. The working doctrine is: cooperate in practice, defend sovereignty in public.
Congress is moving to write that sovereignty narrative into law. The Permanent Commission voted 26-10 to open an extraordinary session on May 26. The agenda includes deepening the 2024 judicial reform, new candidate vetting rules, and — most consequentially — a constitutional basis for nullifying elections on grounds of foreign interference. That last provision turns the Rocha controversy from a political crisis into a legal instrument: a Morena-aligned legislature and judiciary could, in principle, invoke it against any future election result. The session also delays the next judicial election to June 2028.
Ms Sheinbaum will deliver her second-year accountability report on May 31, broadcast simultaneously to public squares in all 32 states — replacing the Zócalo mass rallies her predecessor favoured with a distributed format. In Tabasco this week, previewing the event, she described Mexico as "nobody's colony" and attacked TV Azteca as "the most dishonest television network." The foreign interference framing is already set. Formal negotiations under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement begin the same week, with the Moody's downgrade fresh, reservoir levels at Amistad at 19.3% capacity and Falcon at 15.3%, and the Rocha indictment still live. Twenty-five days before Guadalajara's first World Cup group-stage match, no public security framework for the games has been confirmed — a planning gap that has become an operational one.
* **Moody's downgrades Mexico sovereign debt to Baa3; CFE and eight banks follow in cascade** — Moody's downgraded Mexico's sovereign credit rating from Baa2 to Baa3 — the bottom rung of investment grade — citing persistent fiscal weakness, rigid spending, and continued support for Pemex. The agency then applied cascading downgrades to the state electricity utility (CFE, from Baa2 to Baa3) and eight Mexican financial institutions including BBVA México, Banorte, Santander, Banamex, the National Foreign Trade Bank (Bancomext), and Nacional Financiera (Nafin). Pemex's B1 rating was separately maintained with a stable outlook, underpinned by government support.
* [Mexico, EU sign stalled trade deal as they aim to diversify from US — reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexico-eu-sign-stalled-trade-deal-they-aim-diversify-us-2026-05-22/)
* [EU, Mexico sign expanded trade deal — dw.com](https://www.dw.com/en/eu-mexico-sign-expanded-trade-deal/a-77270446)
* [Sheinbaum defiende acuerdo con la UE; descarta choque con revisión del T-MEC — eluniversal.com.mx](https://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion/sheinbaum-defiende-acuerdo-con-la-ue-descarta-choque-con-revision-del-t-mec/)
* [Sheinbaum recibe a delegación de la Unión Europea en Palacio Nacional — eluniversal.com.mx](https://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion/sheinbaum-recibe-a-delegacion-de-la-union-europea-en-palacio-nacional-alistan-firma-de-acuerdo-global-modernizado/)
* [Sheinbaum recibe a presidenta de la Comisión Europea — excelsior.com.mx](https://www.excelsior.com.mx/nacional/sheinbaum-recibe-presidenta-comision-europea)
* [Sheinbaum celebra 'momento histórico' en la relación con la UE — forbes.com.mx](https://forbes.com.mx/sheinbaum-celebra-momento-historico-en-la-relacion-con-la-ue/)
* [Sheinbaum se reúne con autoridades de UE en Palacio Nacional — milenio.com](https://www.milenio.com/politica/sheinbaum-se-reune-con-autoridades-de-ue-en-palacio-nacional)
* [La Jornada: México firma nuevo acuerdo comercial con la UE: Sheinbaum — jornada.com.mx](https://www.jornada.com.mx/2026/05/23/economia/012n1eco?partner=rss)
* [Beneficiará el acuerdo con UE a pequeños productores del país, afirma Sheinbaum — jornada.com.mx](https://www.jornada.com.mx/2026/05/24/politica/005n1pol)
* [Anuncia Sheinbaum programa de apoyo a la industria del cacao en Tabasco — unotv.com](https://www.unotv.com/nacional/anuncia-sheinbaum-programa-de-apoyo-a-la-industria-del-cacao-en-tabasco/)
* [Samuel García felicita a Sheinbaum por tratado comercial Unión Europea — milenio.com](https://www.milenio.com/politica/samuel-garcia-felicita-sheinbaum-tratado-comercial-union-europea)
* [La mañanera de Sheinbaum, 22 de mayo, minuto a minuto — eluniversal.com.mx](https://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion/la-mananera-de-sheinbaum-22-de-mayo-minuto-a-minuto-2/)
* [La Mañanera de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum hoy viernes 22 de mayo — infobae.com](https://www.infobae.com/mexico/2026/05/22/en-vivo-la-mananera-de-la-presidenta-claudia-sheinbaum-hoy-viernes-22-de-mayo/)
* [US and Mexico pledge continued security cooperation during visit by DHS Secretary Mullin — apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/mexico-us-mullin-visit-dhs-cartels-security-8e3e624162518272c840913fba25624f)
* [EU pide de nuevo a Sheinbaum 'mano dura' contra el narcoterrorismo — elfinanciero.com.mx](https://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/nacional/2026/05/22/reunion-claudia-sheinbaum-y-markwayne-mullin-narcoterrorismo/)
* [Sheinbaum recibe a Markwayne Mullin para alinear la agenda de seguridad — imagenradio.com.mx](https://www.imagenradio.com.mx/sheinbaum-recibe-markwayne-mullin-para-alinear-la-agenda-de-seguridad)
* [Sheinbaum insiste en que tropas extranjeras no pueden operar en México — infobae.com](https://www.infobae.com/mexico/2026/05/22/sheinbaum-insiste-que-tropas-extranjeras-no-pueden-operar-en-mexico-y-detalla-colaboracion-con-secretario-de-seguridad-de-eeuu/)
* [Mullin y Sheinbaum acuerdan combate conjunto a 'narcoterroristas' y seguridad fronteriza — zetatijuana.com](https://zetatijuana.com/2026/05/mullin-y-sheinbaum-acuerdan-combate-conjunto-a-narcoterroristas-y-seguridad-fronteriza/)
* [Fortalecen México y EU cooperación en materia de seguridad — nvinoticias.com](https://www.nvinoticias.com/nacional/fortalecen-mexico-y-eu-cooperacion-en-materia-de-seguridad/187806)
* [Coincidieron, pero ¿le reclamó el injerencismo? — informador.mx](https://www.informador.mx/ideas/coincidieron-pero-le-reclamo-el-injerencismo-20260524-0034.html)
* [Exclusive: Mexico's Sheinbaum tells her party that officials should quit if tied to corruption — reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexicos-sheinbaum-tells-her-party-that-officials-should-quit-if-tied-corruption-2026-05-21/)
* [Pressure on Mexico after two ex-officials surrender to US over alleged cartel ties — theguardian.com](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/may/18/mexico-officials-surrender-alleged-cartel-ties)
* [No es algo político: Sheinbaum sobre citatorios de FGR a Campos y Rocha — jornada.com.mx](https://www.jornada.com.mx/noticia/2026/05/24/politica/no-es-algo-politico-sheinbaum-sobre-citatorios-de-fgr-a-campos-y-rocha)
* [Sheinbaum reacciona a citatorios de la FGR contra Rocha Moya y Maru Campos — informador.mx](https://www.informador.mx/mexico/sheinbaum-reacciona-a-citatorios-de-la-fgr-contra-rocha-moya-y-maru-campos-20260523-0092.html)
* ['No tiene nada de político', señala Claudia Sheinbaum sobre citatorio de FGR a Maru Campos — elfinanciero.com.mx](https://www.elfinanciero.com.mx/nacional/2026/05/23/no-tiene-nada-de-politico-senala-claudia-sheinbaum-sobre-citatorio-de-fgr-a-maru-campos/)
* [Sheinbaum asegura que citatorios de la FGR por casos Sinaloa y Chihuahua corresponden a 'procedimientos' — aristeguinoticias.com](https://aristeguinoticias.com/2405/mexico/sheinbaum-asegrura-que-citatorios-de-la-fgr-por-casos-sinaloa-y-chihuahua-corresponden-a-procedimientos-de-investigacion/)
* [Un video en el que un ciudadano critica a Sheinbaum en un restaurante es de 2023, no de 2026 — es-us.noticias.yahoo.com](https://es-us.noticias.yahoo.com/video-ciudadano-critica-sheinbaum-restaurante-221937084.html)
* [Gobierno de Sinaloa bajo presión internacional: emiten ficha roja de Interpol contra Rubén Rocha — lapalabradelcaribe.com](https://www.lapalabradelcaribe.com/gobierno-de-sinaloa-bajo-presion-internacional-emiten-ficha-roja-de-interpol-contra-ruben-rocha-y-exfuncionarios-ligados-a-los-chapitos/)
* [Sheinbaum confirma que Rubén Rocha y siete exfuncionarios cuentan con ficha roja de Interpol — zetatijuana.com](https://www.milenio.com/politica/sheinbaum-se-reune-con-autoridades-de-ue-en-palacio-nacional)
* [¿Dónde está Rubén Rocha Moya? García Harfuch revela el paradero del gobernador de Sinaloa — informador.mx](https://www.informador.mx/mexico/donde-esta-ruben-rocha-moya-garcia-harfuch-revela-el-paradero-del-gobernador-de-sinaloa-tras-acusaciones-en-eu-20260522-0043.html)
* [Sheinbaum y García Harfuch difieren sobre el esquema de protección de Rocha Moya — zetatijuana.com](https://zetatijuana.com/2026/05/sheinbaum-y-garcia-harfuch-difieren-sobre-el-esquema-de-proteccion-de-rocha-moya/)
* [Sheinbaum y Harfuch se contradicen sobre quién protege a Rubén Rocha Moya — elimparcial.com](https://www.elimparcial.com/mexico/2026/05/21/sheinbaum-y-harfuch-coinciden-en-que-rocha-moya-tiene-proteccion-pero-se-contradicen-entre-guardia-nacional-y-policia-estatal-mientras-el-gobernador-con-licencia-sigue-en-sinaloa/)
* [Moya está en Sinaloa y no cuenta con protección federal: Omar García Harfuch — ceonline.com.mx](https://ceonline.com.mx/post/moya-esta-en-sinaloa-y-no-cuenta-con-proteccion-federal-omar-garcia-harfuch/)
* [Rubén Rocha Moya reaparece tras citatorio de la FGR — lanoticiadetlaxcala.com](https://www.lanoticiadetlaxcala.com/2026/05/23/ruben-rocha-moya-reaparece-tras-citatorio-de-la-fgr-por-investigaciones-de-nexos-con-el-narcotrafico/)
* [El PVEM: ¿en la mira de EU por alianza con Morena? — eluniversal.com.mx](https://www.eluniversal.com.mx/opinion/salvador-garcia-soto/el-pvem-en-la-mira-de-eu-por-alianza-con-morena/)
* [Ejército y Marina ya deben deslindarse de la 4T — dereporteros.com](https://dereporteros.com/2026/05/24/ejercito-y-marina-ya-deben-deslindarse-de-la-4t)
* [Como siempre: habrá investigación — dereporteros.com](https://dereporteros.com/2026/05/24/como-siempre-habra-investigacion)
* [Salud mental en comunidad, una tarea urgente para México (mentions Mérida Sánchez/SEDENA) — losangelespress.org](https://losangelespress.org/con-voz-propia/2026/may/23/salud-mental-en-comunidad-una-tarea-urgente-para-mexico-15251.html)
* [Somos Nuestra Memoria SALUD MENTAL (mentions Gerardo Mérida/SEDENA) — nsintesis.com](https://nsintesis.com/somos-nuestra-memoria-salud-mental-compromiso-social-practica-profesional-y-comunidad/)
* [¿Maru Campos admite que violó la Soberanía Nacional?... se contradice en entrevistas — vanguardia.com.mx](https://vanguardia.com.mx/noticias/mexico/maru-campos-admite-que-violo-la-soberania-nacional-se-contradice-en-entrevistas-con-lopez-doriga-y-ciro-videos-KO20845953)
* [Maru Campos: 'Chihuahua necesita forzosamente la colaboración de Estados Unidos' — laparadoja.com.mx](https://laparadoja.com.mx/2026/05/maru-campos-chihuahua-necesita-forzosamente-la-colaboracion-de-estados-unidos)
* ['Allí estaremos': A la FGR fue citada Maru Campos, gobernadora de Chihuahua — elimparcial.com](https://www.elimparcial.com/mexico/2026/05/23/alli-estaremos-a-la-fgr-fue-citada-maru-campos-gobernadora-de-chihuahua-sobre-operativo-con-agentes-de-eeuu-debera-acudir-el-proximo-27-de-mayo/)
* [La oposición acusa persecución política en caso Maru Campos; Sheinbaum y Morena lo niegan — politica.expansion.mx](https://politica.expansion.mx/mexico/2026/05/24/la-oposicion-acusa-persecucion-politica-en-caso-maru-campos-sheinbaum-y-morena-lo-niegan)
* [Alito Moreno llama a Morena 'pandilla de delincuentes' y acusa a Sheinbaum de persecución — eluniversal.com.mx](https://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion/alito-moreno-califica-a-morena-como-pandilla-de-delincuentes-acusa-a-sheinbaum-de-usar-el-poder-para-perseguir-opositores/)
* [El nuevo choque entre Maru Campos y Claudia Sheinbaum por Morena — informador.mx](https://www.informador.mx/mexico/el-nuevo-choque-entre-maru-campos-y-claudia-sheinbaum-por-morena-20260520-0089.html)
* [PAN defenderá a Maru Campos tras citatorio de la FGR a declarar; anuncian movilizaciones — tribuna.com.mx](https://tribuna.com.mx/mexico/2026/05/24/pan-prepara-defensa-legal-y-politica-para-maru-campos-en-chihuahua_547427/)
* [Laberintos de la soberanía: El 'Caso Chihuahua' y la clandestinidad compartida — diario.mx](https://diario.mx/opinion/2026/may/23/laberintos-de-la-soberania-el-caso-chihuahua-y-la-clandestinidad-compartida-1119420.html)
* [Harfuch desmiente a CNN y rechaza operación de la CIA en ataque letal a 'El Payín' en el Edomex — eldespertar.mx](https://www.eldespertar.mx/harfuch-desmiente-a-cnn-y-rechaza-operacion-de-la-cia-en-ataque-letal-a-el-payin-en-el-edomex/)
* [La caja fuerte de Zuany y el día que la FGR llegó por Maru — eldiariodechihuahua.mx](https://www.eldiariodechihuahua.mx/opinion/2026/may/23/la-caja-fuerte-de-zuany-y-el-dia-que-la-fgr-llego-por-maru-801052.html)
* [MORENA se enredó con marcha; enfrentaremos a Ariadna: Daniela — tiempo.com.mx](https://www.tiempo.com.mx/local/insulto-morena-inteligencia-de-chihuahuenses-con-marcha-daniela/)
* [Anuncia Morena denuncias contra funcionarios por 'atorón' a marcha — tiempo.com.mx](https://www.tiempo.com.mx/local/morena-denuncias-chihuahua-operativo-marcha-ariadna-montiel-2026/)
* [Sheinbaum prepara informe por segundo año gobierno para el 31 de mayo — eleconomista.com.mx](https://www.eleconomista.com.mx/politica/sheinbaum-prepara-informe-segundo-ano-gobierno-31-mayo-20260524-815099.html)
* [Sheinbaum convoca a segundo Informe el domingo 31 de mayo — milenio.com](https://www.milenio.com/politica/sheinbaum-convoca-informe-domingo-31-mayo)
* [A dos años de su victoria, Sheinbaum dará informe nacional el 31 de mayo — excelsior.com.mx](https://www.excelsior.com.mx/nacional/dos-anos-victoria-sheinbaum-dara-informe-nacional-31-mayo)
* [Sheinbaum convoca a informe nacional de 'Rendición de cuentas' el 31 de mayo — razon.com.mx](https://www.razon.com.mx/mexico/2026/05/24/sheinbaum-convoca-a-informe-nacional-de-rendicion-de-cuentas-el-31-de-mayo/)
* [Claudia Sheinbaum convoca a reunirse en plazas de los 32 estados — yucatan.com.mx](https://www.yucatan.com.mx/mexico/2026/05/24/sheinbaum-informe-plazas-publicas-32-estados-defender-cuarta-transformacion.html)
* [Claudia Sheinbaum convoca a un informe nacional el 31 de mayo para 'defender' la Cuarta Transformación — elimparcial.com](https://www.elimparcial.com/mexico/2026/05/24/claudia-sheinbaum-convoca-a-un-informe-nacional-el-31-de-mayo-en-las-32-entidades-para-defender-la-cuarta-transformacion/)
* [Sheinbaum convoca a informe nacional por el 2° aniversario de la 4T: 'México no es colonia de nadie' — imagenradio.com.mx](https://www.imagenradio.com.mx/sheinbaum-convoca-informe-nacional-por-el-2deg-aniversario-de-la-4t-mexico-no-es-colonia-de-nadie)
* ['Aquí nació nuestro movimiento': Sheinbaum manda mensaje a AMLO desde Tabasco — sdpnoticias.com](https://www.sdpnoticias.com/mexico/aqui-nacio-nuestro-movimiento-sheinbaum-manda-mensaje-a-amlo-desde-tabasco/)
* [Se atiende al pueblo, no a gobiernos extranjeros, dice Sheinbaum — heraldodemexico.com.mx](https://heraldodemexico.com.mx/nacional/2026/5/24/se-atiende-al-pueblo-no-gobiernos-extranjeros-dice-sheinbaum-818477.html)
* [Anuncia Sheinbaum festejos por los dos años de su victoria electoral, el próximo 31 de mayo — vanguardia.com.mx](https://vanguardia.com.mx/noticias/mexico/anuncia-sheinbaum-festejos-por-los-dos-anos-de-su-victoria-electoral-el-proximo-31-de-mayo-JK20910548)
* [Sheinbaum llama a celebrar el segundo aniversario de su triunfo — laorquesta.mx](https://laorquesta.mx/sheinbaum-llama-a-celebrar-el-segundo-aniversario-de-su-triunfo/)
* [Claudia Sheinbaum dará un informe extraordinario por su victoria hace 2 años — infobae.com](https://www.infobae.com/mexico/2026/05/24/claudia-sheinbaum-dara-un-informe-extraordinario-por-su-victoria-hace-2-anos/)
* [Sheinbaum dará informe el 31 de mayo para celebrar dos años de su triunfo electoral — proceso.com.mx](https://www.proceso.com.mx/nacional/2026/5/24/sheinbaum-dara-informe-el-31-de-mayo-para-celebrar-dos-anos-de-su-triunfo-electoral-374643.html)
* [Sheinbaum alista informe de labores de su segundo año el 31 de mayo — eluniversal.com.mx](https://www.eluniversal.com.mx/nacion/sheinbaum-alista-informe-de-labores-de-su-segundo-ano-el-31-de-mayo-se-proyectara-en-plazas-publicas-de-todo-el-pais/)
* [Sheinbaum celebrará con un informe el aniversario de su triunfo en las urnas — noticias.imer.mx](https://noticias.imer.mx/blog/la-presidenta-claudia-sheinbaum-celebrara-su-triunfo-en-las-urnas-con-un-informe-de-gobierno-al-pueblo-de-mexico/)
* [Anuncia Sheinbaum informe virtual en los 32 estados el 31 de mayo — edomex.quadratin.com.mx](https://edomex.quadratin.com.mx/anuncia-sheinbaum-informe-virtual-en-los-32-estados-el-31-de-mayo/)
* [Sheinbaum anunció que proyectará en TODAS las plazas públicas su informe — elimparcial.com](https://www.elimparcial.com/mexico/2026/05/24/sheinbaum-anuncio-que-proyectara-en-todas-las-plazas-publicas-de-mexico-su-informe-del-segundo-ano-presidencial-y-dejo-un-directo-mensaje-para-los-extranjeros-que-han-criticado-su-gobierno/)
* [Reciben a Sheinbaum en Tabasco con espectaculares — reforma.com](https://www.reforma.com/reciben-a-sheinbaum-en-tabasco-con-espectaculares/ar3209467)
* [Claudia Sheinbaum entrega tarjetas de la Beca Rita Cetina en Cunduacán, Tabasco — excelsior.com.mx](https://www.excelsior.com.mx/nacional/claudia-sheinbaum-entrega-tarjetas-beca-rita-cetina-cunduacan-tabasco)
* [Claudia Sheinbaum supervisa ampliación de carretera en Tabasco — excelsior.com.mx](https://www.excelsior.com.mx/nacional/claudia-sheinbaum-supervisa-ampliacion-carretera-tabasco)
* [Sheinbaum supervisa la carretera Macuspana-Escárcega, en Tabasco — heraldodemexico.com.mx](https://heraldodemexico.com.mx/nacional/2026/5/24/sheinbaum-supervisa-la-carretera-macuspana-escarcega-en-tabasco-fotos-818446.html)
* [Moody's rebaja la calificación de México; el apoyo a Pemex 'limita' al gobierno — proceso.com.mx](https://www.proceso.com.mx/economia/2026/5/20/moodys-rebaja-la-calificacion-de-mexico-el-apoyo-pemex-limita-al-gobierno-374425.html)
* [Moody's bajó la calificación de CFE y ocho instituciones financieras tras reducir la nota soberana de México — unotv.com](https://www.unotv.com/negocios/moodys-baja-calificacion-cfe-bancos-mexico-2026/)
* [Moody's rebaja la calificación crediticia de CFE por su alta dependencia del gobierno mexicano — msn.com](https://www.msn.com/es-mx/dinero/noticias/moody-s-rebaja-la-calificaci%C3%B3n-crediticia-de-cfe-por-su-alta-dependencia-del-gobierno-mexicano/ar-AA23P4F6)
* [Baja Moody's calificación crediticia de CFE y ocho instituciones financieras mexicanas — jornada.com.mx](https://www.jornada.com.mx/noticia/2026/05/21/economia/baja-moodys-calificacion-de-cfe-y-de-8-instituciones-financieras)
* [Castiga Moody's a CFE y banca oficial y privada — reforma.com](https://www.reforma.com/castiga-moody-s-a-cfe-y-banca-oficial-y-privada/ar3208653)
* [Moody's baja calificación a CFE y a 8 bancos — aristeguinoticias.com](https://aristeguinoticias.com/2105/dinero-y-economia/moodys-baja-calificacion-a-cfe-y-a-8-bancos/)
* [Moody's castiga a CFE: rebaja su calificación crediticia por 'alta dependencia' del gobierno mexicano — expansion.mx](https://expansion.mx/empresas/2026/05/22/moodys-rebaja-la-calificacion-crediticia-de-cfe-por-su-alta-dependencia-del-gobierno-mexicano)
* [Es perspectiva de Pemex y CFE alerta a economía — elnorte.com](https://www.elnorte.com/es-perspectiva-de-pemex-y-cfe-alerta-a-economia/ar3207820)
* [Moody's mantiene estable la perspectiva de Pemex — sdpnoticias.com](https://www.sdpnoticias.com/negocios/moodys-mantiene-estable-la-perspectiva-de-pemex/)
* [Moody's ratifica la calificación de Pemex en B1 gracias al respaldo del gobierno — elimparcial.com](https://www.elimparcial.com/dinero/2026/05/23/moodys-ratifica-la-calificacion-de-pemex-en-b1-gracias-al-respaldo-del-gobierno-pero-advierte-un-perfil-financiero-muy-deteriorado/)
***
### 
Brazil
The first post-scandal polls confirm what Lula's camp had hoped: the Vorcaro affair broke Flávio Bolsonaro's candidacy. What they reveal beyond that is less comfortable.
Datafolha's May 20–22 survey of 2,004 voters — the first conducted entirely after the audio recordings that detonated the scandal — shows Lula leading in the first round 40% to 31%, a 9-point gap that had been only 3 points before. The second round stands at 47% to 43%. AtlasIntel, surveying over 5,000 respondents a week earlier, found a similar picture. The shift is real. But Lula's government approval remains net negative — 38% rate it negatively — confirming that he is winning by default rather than by merit.
That distinction matters most in the second round. Datafolha also tested Michelle Bolsonaro as a potential replacement and found her trailing Lula 48% to 43% — nearly identical to Flávio's numbers. The right's ceiling appears to be about 43%, whoever leads the ticket. Meanwhile, 88% of Flávio's own voters want him to stay in the race. The scandal has not broken the movement; it has broken the candidate.
Veja reported that his communications director, known as Marcelão, was fired amid shouting, table-pounding, and finger-pointing. Duda Lima, the Liberal Party (PL) campaign strategist, explained why he would not manage the campaign. Financial market figures are calling Flávio "toxic." He has been wearing a bulletproof vest and limiting public appearances, while travelling to São Paulo to shore up business support.
Reuters reported Flávio was expected to fly to Washington on May 25, ahead of a possible White House meeting the following week; his brother Eduardo Bolsonaro, who has lived in the United States since last year, arranged the invitation. The Lula government will not seek to block the visit, but senior officials told BBC Brasil they will watch whatever signals the American president sends before deciding how to respond. A Lula official called the trip a bid to shift attention from the scandal. Eduardo drew separate attention: he reportedly called US law enforcement on an Intercept Brasil journalist near his Texas home — a striking move, given that the Intercept's reporting on the Vorcaro affair triggered the campaign crisis.
Lula's own position is also under pressure. The Workers' Party (PT) confirmed that Rodrigo Pacheco, its preferred candidate for the governorship of Minas Gerais — Brazil's second-largest electoral college — will not run, forcing the party to restart its search. Names under discussion include Alexandre Kalil, Josué Gomes da Silva, and Gabriel Azevedo. In São Paulo, the country's largest electoral college, Tarcísio de Freitas, the state's governor, leads Fernando Haddad 47% to 33% in polls, with coalition partners pressing for clarity on Haddad's ticket. Lula hinted that Haddad might be destined for a "higher leap" without specifying what he meant.
In Rio, Lula attacked at an Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz) event on May 23, telling Ricardo Couto, the state's interim governor, to "work to arrest the thieves and militiamen who governed this state and the deputies who are part of an organized militia." The state assembly, controlled by Douglas Ruas — a Bolsonaro ally who chairs it and is being discussed as the family's candidate for the October governor's race — fired back with an institutional note calling it "unacceptable to generalize or criminalize" its members. Lula gained a campaign line and a legislative enemy at a stroke.
In the courts, the national public defender's office told the Supreme Court that Justice Alexandre de Moraes cannot preside over the case against Eduardo Bolsonaro — a recusal challenge that could reshape the January 8 proceedings if accepted. Separately, Justice Luiz Fux voted to maintain the detention of Vorcaro's father and cousin, while the Federal Police asked the court to return Vorcaro himself to federal prison.
One risk is building quietly. Petrobras has been absorbing roughly a billion dollars in losses selling gasoline below market prices, and an increase of more than 15% had been expected. No announcement came this week, or the week before. The timing coincides neatly with the peak of Vorcaro coverage. Whether the government is managing the calendar or has decided to extend the subsidy, every additional week of delay deepens Petrobras's losses and makes the eventual price shock harder to absorb politically.
* **Datafolha shows Lula widening 2026 presidential lead as Flávio loses ground after scandal** — Multiple Datafolha releases in the week of May 19–23 showed Lula, of the Workers' Party (PT), expanding his first-round lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (PL), from 3 to 9 points (40% vs. 31%) and taking a 47–43 second-round advantage, with AtlasIntel/Bloomberg showing a similar shift. The polls were the first conducted entirely after the Intercept audio revelations; Lula also outperforms Flávio among centrist voters 29% to 20%. Lula's government approval improved slightly, though negative ratings still lead at 38%. *([reuters.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2026/noticia/2026/05/22/datafolha-2o-turno-lula-flavio.ghtml))*
* **Fernando Haddad builds São Paulo gubernatorial campaign amid Tarcísio polling lead and ticket uncertainty** — Fernando Haddad, the finance minister and Workers' Party (PT) candidate for the São Paulo governorship, intensified his pre-campaign, criticising Tarcísio de Freitas's record on Sabesp's privatisation, the 6x1 work schedule, and income-tax exemptions. Polls show Tarcísio leading Haddad 47% to 33% in the first round, but coalition building stalled over who will be Haddad's running mate and the Senate slot, with Tabata Amaral and others pressing for a rapid decision; Lula hinted at a 'higher leap' for Haddad without specifying.
* [Brazil Senator Bolsonaro seeks White House meeting amid campaign crisis, sources say — reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/brazil-senator-bolsonaro-seeks-white-house-meeting-amid-campaign-crisis-sources-2026-05-21/)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro vai aos EUA em busca de Trump e agenda positiva em meio a crise — bbc.com](https://www.bbc.com/portuguese/articles/cr5plprj4qpo)
* [Novos escândalos de Flávio Bolsonaro assombram a direita — intercept.com.br](https://www.intercept.com.br/2026/05/23/escandalos-flavio-bolsonaro-assombram-direita/)
* [Gritos, socos na mesa e dedo na cara… A saída caótica de Marcelão do QG de Flávio Bolsonaro — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/brasil/gritos-socos-na-mesa-e-dedo-na-cara-a-saida-caotica-de-marcelao-do-qg-de-flavio-bolsonaro/)
* [Marqueteiro do PL explica porque não fará a campanha de Flávio Bolsonaro — correiobraziliense.com.br](https://blogs.correiobraziliense.com.br/denise/marqueteiro-do-pl-explica-porque-nao-fara-a-campanha-de-flavio-bolsonaro/)
* [Pilares do bolsonarismo avaliam Flávio Bolsonaro como ativo tóxico após revelação de negócios com Vorcaro — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/blog/andreia-sadi/post/2026/05/22/pilares-do-bolsonarismo-situacao-de-flavio-bolsonaro.ghtml)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro vira ativo tóxico e PL perde poder de barganha — ocafezinho.com](https://www.ocafezinho.com/2026/05/23/flavio-bolsonaro-vira-ativo-toxico-e-pl-perde-poder-de-barganha/)
* [Banqueiro não recebe Flávio Bolsonaro após áudio com Vorcaro — revistaforum.com.br](https://revistaforum.com.br/politica/banqueiro-nao-recebe-flavio-bolsonaro-audio-vorcaro/)
* [Eduardo Bolsonaro chama a polícia após visita de repórter — gazetadopovo.com.br](https://www.gazetadopovo.com.br/republica/eduardo-bolsonaro-intercept-eua-policia/)
* [Eduardo Bolsonaro diz que foi 'importunado' em sua casa nos EUA — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-gente/eduardo-bolsonaro-diz-que-foi-importunado-em-sua-casa-nos-eua/)
* [Eduardo Bolsonaro chama a polícia para jornalista que 'rodeava sua casa' — em.com.br](https://www.em.com.br/politica/2026/05/7426514-eduardo-bolsonaro-chama-a-policia-para-jornalista-que-rodeava-sua-casa.html)
* [Eduardo Bolsonaro diz ter acionado polícia contra repórter — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2026/05/eduardo-bolsonaro-diz-ter-acionado-policia-contra-reporter.shtml)
* [Eduardo Bolsonaro registra boletim de ocorrência nos EUA por importunação — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/politica/eduardo-bolsonaro-registra-boletim-de-ocorrencia-nos-eua-por-importunacao/)
* [DPU diz ao STF que Moraes não pode julgar ação contra Eduardo Bolsonaro — cnnbrasil.com.br](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/politica/dpu-diz-ao-stf-que-moraes-nao-pode-julgar-acao-contra-eduardo-bolsonaro/)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro usa colete à prova de balas: 'Sei do que eles são capazes' — em.com.br](https://www.em.com.br/politica/2026/05/7426903-flavio-bolsonaro-usa-colete-a-prova-de-balas-sei-do-que-eles-sao-capazes.html)
* ['Esse pessoal não tem limites': Flávio Bolsonaro explica uso de colete à prova de balas — ndmais.com.br](https://ndmais.com.br/politica/flavio-bolsonaro-de-colete-explica-instagram/)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro diz usar colete à prova de balas por segurança — jovenpan.com.br](https://jovenpan.com.br/noticias/politica/flavio-bolsonaro-diz-usar-colete-a-prova-de-balas-por-seguranca.html)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro fica em Brasília e não fará agendas públicas neste fim de semana — otempo.com.br](https://www.otempo.com.br/eleicoes/2026/presidentes/2026/5/23/flavio-bolsonaro-fica-em-brasilia-e-nao-fara-agendas-publicas-neste-fim-de-semana)
* [Flávio acena a Aldo depois de DC ameaçar tirá-lo da disputa — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-eleicoes/flavio-acena-a-aldo-depois-de-dc-ameacar-tira-lo-da-disputa/)
* [A hora e a vez de Michelle Bolsonaro — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/politica/a-hora-e-a-vez-de-michelle-bolsonaro/)
* [COLUNA | Após problemas com Flávio Bolsonaro, direita testará Michelle Bolsonaro — terra.com.br](https://www.terra.com.br/noticias/brasil/politica/coluna-apos-problemas-com-flavio-bolsonaro-direita-testara-michelle-bolsonaro,ace726652545d3137c36c9919220d75di170zkel.html)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro na casa de Vorcaro — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/celso-rocha-de-barros/2026/05/flavio-bolsonaro-na-casa-de-vorcaro.shtml)
* ['Somos leais', diz Nikolas sobre manter candidatura com família Bolsonaro — midiamax.com.br](https://midiamax.com.br/politica/2026/somos-leais-diz-nikolas-manter-candidatura-familia-bolsonaro/)
* [Como o último Datafolha frustrou petistas e também trouxe más notícias a Lula — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/brasil/como-o-ultimo-datafolha-frustrou-petistas-e-trouxe-mas-noticias-a-lula/)
* [Eleições 2026: 'Timing do escândalo com Vorcaro foi bom para Flávio', diz Marcos Nobre — bbc.com](https://www.bbc.com/portuguese/articles/c1k2pk3p700o)
* [Missão, partido do MBL, tenta desafiar Bolsonaro — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/ilustrissima/2026/05/partido-do-mbl-se-inspira-em-ultradireita-do-vale-do-silicio-para-desafiar-bolsonaro.shtml)
* [Pré-candidato, Renan Santos ataca Jair e Flávio Bolsonaro — noticias.r7.com](https://noticias.r7.com/brasilia/pre-candidato-renan-santos-ataca-jair-e-flavio-bolsonaro-23052026/)
* ['Dark Horse': Pelo menos 5 locais se recusaram a aparecer em filme sobre Jair Bolsonaro — estadao.com.br](https://www.estadao.com.br/politica/coluna-do-estadao/dark-horse-pelo-menos-5-locais-se-recusaram-a-aparecer-em-filme-sobre-jair-bolsonaro/)
* [ONG do filme de Bolsonaro seguiu recebendo verba milionária após sumir em SP — bncamazonas.com.br](https://bncamazonas.com.br/ta_na_midia/ong-do-filme-de-bolsonaro-seguiu-recebendo-verba-milionaria-apos-sumir-em-sp/)
* [Dona de produtora de filme sobre Bolsonaro buscou Lei Rouanet para projetos de R\$ 8,6 milhões — jornaldebrasilia.com.br](https://jornaldebrasilia.com.br/noticias/politica-e-poder/dona-de-produtora-de-filme-sobre-bolsonaro-buscou-lei-rouanet-para-projetos-de-r-86-milhoes/)
* [Opinião | Olavo de Carvalho é o inspirador oculto do filme 'Dark Horse' sobre Bolsonaro — estadao.com.br](https://www.estadao.com.br/politica/fabiano-lana/olavo-de-carvalho-e-o-inspirador-oculto-do-filme-dark-horse-sobre-bolsonaro/)
* [Olavo de Carvalho é o inspirador oculto do filme 'Dark Horse' sobre Bolsonaro (amp) — estadao.com.br](https://www.estadao.com.br/amp/politica/fabiano-lana/olavo-de-carvalho-e-o-inspirador-oculto-do-filme-dark-horse-sobre-bolsonaro/)
* [O que significa 'Dark Horse'? Entenda o porquê do nome do filme sobre Bolsonaro — noticias.r7.com](https://noticias.r7.com/brasilia/o-que-significa-dark-horse-entenda-o-titulo-do-filme-sobre-bolsonaro-e-por-que-o-nome-foi-escolhido-22052026/)
* [Dono de casa milionária no Texas, aliado de Eduardo Bolsonaro declarou R\$ 164 mil em bens — oglobo.globo.com](https://oglobo.globo.com/blogs/malu-gaspar/post/2026/05/dono-de-casa-milionaria-no-texas-aliado-de-eduardo-bolsonaro-declarou-r-164-mil-em-bens.ghtml)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro e Trump: aliança da direita nos EUA — gazetadopovo.com.br](https://www.gazetadopovo.com.br/republica/como-flavio-bolsonaro-planeja-fortalecer-sua-alianca-com-donald-trump/)
* [PT gastou mais de R\$ 500 mil para impulsionar posts após áudio de Flávio a Vorcaro — oglobo.globo.com](https://oglobo.globo.com/blogs/lauro-jardim/post/2026/05/pt-gastou-mais-de-r-500-mil-para-impulsionar-posts-apos-audio-de-flavio-a-vorcaro.ghtml)
* [Análise: 'Dark Horse' pode ter transformado Flávio Bolsonaro em 'cavalo paraguaio' — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/blog/octavio-guedes/post/2026/05/22/analise-octavio-guedes-flavio-bolsonaro-dark-horse.ghtml)
* [Caso Master: a Lava Jato 2 que não foi — e os personagens que os vazamentos protegeram — contee.org.br](https://contee.org.br/caso-master-a-lava-jato-2-que-nao-foi-e-os-personagens-que-os-vazamentos-protegeram/)
* [Bolsonaro não lê livros nem para reduzir pena — em.com.br](https://www.em.com.br/politica/2026/05/7426992-bolsonaro-nao-le-livros-nem-para-reduzir-pena.html)
* [Josias de Souza: Mesmo preso, Bolsonaro conduz direita que não quis se endireitar — noticias.uol.com.br](https://noticias.uol.com.br/colunas/josias-de-souza/2026/05/24/mesmo-preso-bolsonaro-conduz-direita-que-nao-quis-se-endireitar.htm)
* [Jair Bolsonaro foi beneficiário dos escândalos em 2018, quem será o das denúncias contra Flávio em 2026? — opopular.com.br](https://opopular.com.br/opiniao/artigos/jair-bolsonaro-foi-beneficiario-dos-escandalos-em-2018-quem-sera-o-das-denuncias-contra-flavio-em-2026-1.3413861)
* [Painel: Criador de motociatas de Bolsonaro propõe repeti-las para Flávio, mas se queixa de falta de resposta — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/painel/2026/05/criador-de-motociatas-de-bolsonaro-propoe-repeti-las-para-flavio-mas-se-queixa-de-falta-de-resposta.shtml)
* [Carla Araújo: Ministro do TSE cita Lula na Sapucaí de precedente para filme de Bolsonaro — noticias.uol.com.br](https://noticias.uol.com.br/colunas/carla-araujo/2026/05/23/ministro-do-tse-cita-lula-na-sapucai-de-precedente-para-filme-de-bolsonaro.htm)
* [Flávio Bolsonaro posta vídeo associando Deolane a Lula — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-eleicoes/flavio-bolsonaro-posta-video-associando-deolane-a-lula/)
* [Se o encontro com Trump não render, plano B é lançar ET contra Lula e PT? — jb.com.br](https://www.jb.com.br/colunistas/coisas-da-politica/2026/05/1059728-se-o-encontro-com-trump-nao-render-plano-b-e-lancar-et-contra-lula-e-pt.html)
* [Datafolha mostra Flávio Bolsonaro preso à bolha e Lula avançando nos independentes — esmaelmorais.com.br](https://www.esmaelmorais.com.br/datafolha-flavio-bolha-independentes-bolsomaster/)
* [Câmara informa ao STF que Mario Frias viajou ao exterior sem autorização — jovenpan.com.br](https://jovenpan.com.br/programas/jornal-da-manha/camara-informa-ao-stf-que-mario-frias-viajou-ao-exterior-sem-autorizacao.html)
* [Câmara informa ao STF que Frias não teve aval para viagem — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-congresso/camara-informa-ao-stf-que-frias-nao-teve-aval-para-viagem/)
* [Fux antecipa voto, e STF tem placar de 2 a 0 para manter prisões de pai e primo de Vorcaro — estadao.com.br](https://www.estadao.com.br/politica/fux-antecipa-voto-e-stf-tem-placar-de-2-a-0-para-manter-prisoes-de-pai-e-primo-de-vorcaro/)
* [PF pede ao STF que Vorcaro seja levado de volta a presídio federal — correiobraziliense.com.br](https://www.correiobraziliense.com.br/politica/2026/05/7425212-pf-pede-ao-stf-que-vorcaro-seja-levado-de-volta-a-prisao-federal.html)
* [Defesa de Vorcaro pede ao STF transferência para a Papudinha — correiodopovo.com.br](https://www.correiodopovo.com.br/not%C3%ADcias/pol%C3%ADtica/defesa-de-vorcaro-pede-ao-stf-transferencia-para-a-papudinha-1.1715684)
* [Crise do Master foi ligada indevidamente ao STF, mas é sistêmica, diz Gilmar Mendes — noticias.uol.com.br](https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/agencia-estado/2026/05/24/crise-do-master-foi-ligada-indevidamente-ao-stf-mas-e-sistemica-diz-gilmar-mendes-a-jornal.htm)
* [Barroso: 'Tem alguma decisão do STF favorecendo o Banco Master? Não que eu saiba' — estadao.com.br](https://www.estadao.com.br/amp/politica/barroso-tem-alguma-decisao-do-stf-favorecendo-o-banco-master-nao-que-eu-saiba/)
* [André Santana: Família Bolsonaro virou problema até para a direita — noticias.uol.com.br](https://noticias.uol.com.br/colunas/andre-santana/2026/05/23/familia-bolsonaro-virou-problema-ate-para-a-direita.htm)
* [Lula tops Brazil poll after report linking Bolsonaro to disgraced banker — reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/lula-ahead-bolsonaro-brazil-presidential-vote-poll-2026-05-19/)
* [Datafolha: 38% avaliam governo Lula como ruim ou péssimo — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2026/noticia/2026/05/23/datafolha-avaliam-governo-lula-como-ruim-ou-pessimo-como-otimo-ou-bom.ghtml)
* [Aprovação de Lula volta a crescer após sequência de quedas, mostra Datafolha — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/jornal-nacional/noticia/2026/05/23/aprovacao-de-lula-volta-a-crescer-apos-sequencia-de-quedas-mostra-datafolha.ghtml)
* [Datafolha 2º turno: Lula tem 47% e Flávio Bolsonaro, 43% — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2026/noticia/2026/05/22/datafolha-2o-turno-lula-flavio.ghtml)
* [Datafolha testou cenário com Flávio Bolsonaro e com Michelle — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2026/noticia/2026/05/22/datafolha-lula-tem-40percent-e-flavio-bolsonaro-31percent-das-intencoes-de-voto-no-1o-turno.ghtml)
* [Datafolha: 48% querem que Flávio Bolsonaro desista de candidatura — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2026/noticia/2026/05/22/datafolha-88percent-acham-que-flavio-bolsonaro-deveria-manter-a-candidatura-apos-divulgacao-de-suas-conversas-com-vorcaro.ghtml)
* [Datafolha: Lula abre sobre Flávio após 'Dark Horse' — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2026/05/datafolha-lula-abre-vantagem-sobre-flavio-apos-dark-horse.shtml)
* [Datafolha 88% dos eleitores de Flávio defendem que ele siga na disputa mesmo após 'Dark Horse' — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2026/05/datafolha-88-dos-eleitores-de-flavio-defendem-que-ele-siga-na-disputa-mesmo-apos-dark-horse.shtml)
* [Datafolha: Lula atrai 29% do eleitorado de centro; Flávio Bolsonaro, 20% — cnnbrasil.com.br](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/eleicoes/datafolha-lula-atrai-29-do-eleitorado-de-centro-flavio-bolsonaro-20/)
* [Datafolha: Lula atrai 29% do centro, contra 20% de Flávio — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/colunas/painel/2026/05/lula-atrai-29-do-eleitorado-de-centro-contra-20-de-flavio-mostra-datafolha.shtml)
* [As intenções de voto de Lula e Flávio Bolsonaro no 2º turno em novo Datafolha — cartacapital.com.br](https://www.cartacapital.com.br/politica/as-intencoes-de-voto-de-lula-e-flavio-bolsonaro-no-2o-turno-em-novo-datafolha-3/)
* [O desempenho de Michelle Bolsonaro contra Lula em novo Datafolha — cartacapital.com.br](https://www.cartacapital.com.br/politica/o-desempenho-de-michelle-bolsonaro-contra-lula-em-novo-datafolha/)
* [A distância entre Lula e Flávio nas pesquisas eleitorais divulgadas nesta semana — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/politica/a-distancia-entre-lula-e-flavio-nas-pesquisas-eleitorais-divulgadas-nesta-semana/)
* [Renovação, moderação e honestidade: o que o eleitor independente cobra de Lula e Flávio em 2026 — estadao.com.br](https://www.estadao.com.br/politica/renovacao-moderacao-e-honestidade-o-que-o-eleitor-independente-cobra-de-lula-e-flavio-em-2026/)
* [Lula no RJ cobra governador por prisão de milicianos e ladrões — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/noticia/2026/05/23/no-rj-lula-diz-a-governador-para-trabalhar-para-prender-ladroes-e-milicianos-que-comandaram-o-estado.ghtml)
* [Alerj rebate fala de Lula sobre 'indicação de miliciano' — www1.folha.uol.com.br](https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2026/05/alerj-rebate-fala-de-lula-sobre-indicacao-de-miliciano-e-cobra-respeito.shtml)
* [A resposta dos deputados que Lula chamou de 'milicianos' no Rio — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/politica/a-resposta-dos-deputados-que-lula-chamou-de-milicianos-no-rio/)
* ['Trabalhe para prender ladrões que roubaram o RJ', diz Lula a governador interino — noticias.uol.com.br](https://noticias.uol.com.br/politica/ultimas-noticias/2026/05/23/lula-governador-interino-rio.htm)
* ['Se Alerj tivesse de indicar alguém, viria miliciano', afirma Lula, em discurso no Rio — metropoles.com](https://www.metropoles.com/brasil/lula-em-evento-com-ricardo-couto-se-alerj-tivesse-de-indicar-alguem-viria-miliciano)
* [Lula mencionou 'vontade grande' de ajudar o RJ, diz governador — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-governo/lula-mencionou-vontade-grande-de-ajudar-o-rj-diz-governador/)
* [Lula pede para governador do Rio prender 'ladrões' e 'milicianos' — veja.abril.com.br](https://veja.abril.com.br/politica/video-lula-pede-a-governador-do-rio-que-trabalhe-para-prender-os-ladroes-que-geriram-o-estado/)
* [Alerj rebate Lula após presidente associar parlamento fluminense a milicianos — oglobo.globo.com](https://oglobo.globo.com/politica/noticia/2026/05/23/alerj-rebate-lula-apos-presidente-associar-parlamento-fluminense-a-milicianos.ghtml)
* ['Lula não tem moral para dar lição sobre combate ao crime', diz Ruas — metropoles.com](https://www.metropoles.com/brasil/lula-nao-tem-moral-para-dar-licao-sobre-combate-ao-crime-diz-ruas)
* [Trabalhe para prender quem roubou o RJ, diz Lula a governador interino — cnnbrasil.com.br](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/politica/trabalhe-para-prender-quem-roubou-o-rj-diz-lula-a-governador-interino/)
* [Sóstenes critica fala de Lula que associou Alerj a milicianos — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-governo/sostenes-critica-fala-de-lula-que-associou-alerj-a-milicianos/)
* [Ao lado de Lula, governador interino do RJ parafraseia Milton Nascimento — cnnbrasil.com.br](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/politica/ao-lado-de-lula-governador-interino-do-rj-parafraseia-milton-nascimento/)
* [Rodrigo Pacheco não será candidato ao governo de MG, afirma PT — g1.globo.com](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2026/noticia/2026/05/19/presidente-pt-candidatura-rodrigo-pacheco-minas-gerais.ghtml)
* [Já sem contar com Pacheco, PT reabre busca por nome competitivo para Lula em MG — metropoles.com](https://www.metropoles.com/minas-gerais/ja-sem-contar-com-pacheco-pt-reabre-busca-por-nome-competitivo-para-lula-em-mg)
* [Rodrigo Pacheco, o senador que deixa o PT de joelhos em Minas — otempo.com.br](https://www.otempo.com.br/eleicoes/2026/governadores/2026/5/19/sonho-cautela-e-rancor-como-rodrigo-pacheco-opera-e-por-que-isso-deixa-pt-de-maos-atadas)
* [Presidente do PT nacional crava que Pacheco não será candidato ao governo de Minas Gerais — otempo.com.br](https://www.otempo.com.br/eleicoes/2026/2026/5/19/presidente-do-pt-nacional-crava-que-pacheco-nao-sera-candidato-ao-governo-de-minas-gerais-entenda)
* [Declaração de Edinho Silva sobre desistência de Rodrigo Pacheco pega aliados de surpresa — cbn.globo.com](https://cbn.globo.com/politica/noticia/2026/05/19/declaracao-de-edinho-silva-sobre-desistencia-de-rodrigo-pacheco-pega-aliados-de-surpresa.ghtml)
* [PT busca por novo nome para disputa ao governo de Minas Gerais — cbn.globo.com](https://cbn.globo.com/politica/noticia/2026/05/20/pt-busca-por-novo-nome-para-disputa-ao-governo-de-minas-gerais-segundo-presidente-nacional-do-partido.ghtml)
* [MG: PT cogita Josué Gomes e ex-procurador de Justiça para lugar de Pacheco — cnnbrasil.com.br](https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/blogs/caio-junqueira/eleicoes/mg-pt-cogita-josue-gomes-e-ex-procurador-de-justica-para-lugar-de-pacheco/)
* [Quem o PT vai tentar convencer a disputar o governo de Minas Gerais — oglobo.globo.com](https://oglobo.globo.com/blogs/lauro-jardim/post/2026/05/quem-o-pt-vai-tentar-convencer-a-disputar-o-governo-de-minas-gerais.ghtml)
* [PT e PL devem empurrar decisão de palanque em Minas Gerais até 'os 45 do segundo tempo' — noticias.r7.com](https://noticias.r7.com/prisma/r7-planalto/indefinicao-de-pleito-em-minas-gerais-e-resultado-de-incerteza-na-corrida-presidencial-23052026)
* [Após aposta em Pacheco, esquerda mineira se fragmenta e complica Lula — metropoles.com](https://www.metropoles.com/minas-gerais/apos-aposta-em-pacheco-esquerda-mineira-se-fragmenta-e-complica-lula)
* [PT admite saída de Pacheco da disputa em Minas e busca novo palanque para Lula — revistaoeste.com](https://revistaoeste.com/politica/pt-admite-saida-de-pacheco-da-disputa-em-minas-e-busca-novo-palanque-para-lula/)
* [PT faz busca dentro do partido e se vê em dilema de nomes para o governo de Minas Gerais — noticias.r7.com](https://noticias.r7.com/prisma/r7-planalto/pt-faz-busca-dentro-do-partido-e-se-ve-em-dilema-de-nomes-para-o-governo-de-minas-gerais-21052026)
* [Depois de Pacheco, o PT à espera de Lula — em.com.br](https://www.em.com.br/colunistas/bertha-maakaroun/2026/05/7422593-depois-de-pacheco-o-pt-a-espera-de-lula.html)
* [PT oficializa pré-candidatura de Elmano e ele manda recado: 'oposição se prepare' — diariodonordeste.verdesmares.com.br](https://diariodonordeste.verdesmares.com.br/pontopoder/pt-oficializa-pre-candidatura-de-elmano-e-ele-manda-recado-oposicao-se-prepare-1.3766179)
* [PT oficializa Elmano de Freitas como pré-candidato à reeleição no Ceará — mais.opovo.com.br](https://mais.opovo.com.br/jornal/farol/2026/05/24/pt-oficializa-elmano-de-freitas-como-pre-candidato-a-reeleicao-no-ceara.html)
* [PT oficializa pré-candidatura de Elmano e governador manda recado à oposição no Ceará — portalin.com.br](https://www.portalin.com.br/in-connection/pt-oficializa-pre-candidatura-de-elmano-e-governador-manda-recado-a-oposicao-no-ceara/)
* [PT lança pré-candidaturas de Grass ao governo do DF e Kokay ao Senado — poder360.com.br](https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-eleicoes/pt-lanca-pre-candidaturas-de-grass-ao-governo-do-df-e-kokay-ao-senado/)
* [PT-DF lança oficialmente Leandro Grass ao GDF e Erika Kokay ao Senado — correiobraziliense.com.br](https://www.correiobraziliense.com.br/cidades-df/2026/05/7423583-pt-df-lanca-oficialmente-leandro-grass-ao-gdf-e-erika-kokay-ao-senado.html)
* [A estratégia do PT para tentar unificar o palanque de Lula no Distrito Federal — platobr.com.br](https://platobr.com.br/a-estrategia-do-pt-para-tentar-unificar-o-palanque-de-lula-no-distrito-federal)
* [PT deixa nomes internos em banho-maria e mira produtor rural para disputar governo de Goiás — tribunadoplanalto.com.br](https://tribunadoplanalto.com.br/pt-deixa-nomes-internos-em-banho-maria-e-mira-produtor-rural-para-disputar-governo)
* [PT inclui grupo eleitoral na coordenação da campanha de Lula — metropoles.com](https://metropoles.com/brasil/pt-inclui-grupo-eleitoral-na-coordenacao-da-campanha-de-lula)
* [Bancada do PT procura Alcolumbre para pavimentar encontro com Lula e destravar pautas — jornaldebrasilia.com.br](https://jornaldebrasilia.com.br/noticias/politica-e-poder/bancada-do-pt-procura-alcolumbre-para-pavimentar-encontro-com-lula-e-destravar-pautas-do-governo/)
* [PT monta tropa digital para Lula no Paraná em 2026 — esmaelmorais.com.br](https://esmaelmorais.com.br/pt-tropa-digital-lula-parana)
* [PT e PL deram aval para pacote de bondades a partidos; veja bastidores — estadao.com.br](https://estadao.com.br/politica/pt-e-pl-deram-aval-para-pacote-de-bondades-a-partidos-veja-bastidores)
* [PT reúne Diretório Estadual para definir candidaturas proporcionais — cbnrecife.com](https://cbnrecife.com/blogdoelielson/2026/05/23/pt-reune-diretorio-estadual-para-definir-candidaturas-proporcionais)
* [Vice de Haddad para o governo de São Paulo passará por decisão de Lula — noticias.r7.com](https://noticias.r7.com/eleicoes/2026/vice-de-haddad-para-o-governo-de-sao-paulo-passara-por-decisao-de-lula-24052026/)
* [PT quer 'banho de São Paulo' em Haddad após quatro anos em Brasília — jovenpan.com.br](https://jovenpan.com.br/opiniao-jovem-pan/comentaristas/beatriz-manfredini/pt-quer-banho-de-sao-paulo-em-haddad-apos-quatro-anos-em-brasilia.html)
* [A disputa entre Tarcísio e Haddad pelo governo de São Paulo, segundo o Paraná Pesquisas — cartacapital.com.br](https://www.cartacapital.com.br/politica/a-disputa-entre-tarcisio-e-haddad-pelo-governo-de-sao-paulo-segundo-o-parana-pesquisas-2/)
* [Diferença entre Tarcísio e Haddad se mantém em SP, segundo Paraná Pesquisas — revistaforum.com.br](https://revistaforum.com.br/politica/diferenca-tarcisio-haddad-sp-parana-pesquisa/)
* [Tabata diz que indefinição na chapa de Haddad atrapalha campanha em São Paulo — infomoney.com.br](https://www.infomoney.com.br/politica/tabata-diz-que-indefinicao-na-chapa-de-haddad-atrapalha-campanha-em-sao-paulo/)
* [Tabata afirma que indefinição na chapa ao Senado em SP atrapalha pré-campanha do Haddad — noticias.uol.com.br](https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/agencia-estado/2026/05/22/tabata-sobre-chapa-ao-senado-em-sp-nao-podemos-perder-o-tempo-do-que-acontece-na-rua.htm)
* [Tabata cobra definição de chapa de Haddad para eleição em SP — veronoticias.com](https://veronoticias.com/politica/tabata-cobra-definicao-de-chapa-de-haddad-para-eleicao-em-sp/)
* [Tarcísio e Haddad montam coalizões ao governo paulista e reduzem opções nas urnas — oglobo.globo.com](https://oglobo.globo.com/politica/noticia/2026/05/24/tarcisio-e-haddad-montam-coalizoes-ao-governo-paulista-e-reduzem-opcoes-nas-urnas.ghtml)
***
### 
Chile
Chile's president fired his security minister after 69 days — the earliest cabinet reshuffle in modern democratic history — while the state copper company's production scandal deepened into a crisis that his own economy minister called "out of control."
Trinidad Steinert, a prosecutor by training with no security management experience, fell after a disastrous appearance before congress on May 12, where congress twice refused her permission to use a PowerPoint and she read her answers from notes. José Antonio Kast replaced her with Martín Arrau and handed Claudio Alvarado, already interior minister, the security portfolio as well. An insider account in La Tercera revealed that Mr Kast initially resisted the change — the appointments had been his own — but his inner circle, including Mr Alvarado, Alejandro Irarrázaval, Cristián Valenzuela, and Pía Adriasola, the first lady, pushed him to act ahead of the June 1 Cuenta Pública, the president's annual address to congress. One outlet summarised the result plainly: "Kast presses on without the parties."
The political cost is mounting. Approval sits at 32–37%, depending on the poll, with 49% disapproving and 57% saying Mr Kast has not met expectations on security — the issue he ran and won on. Even the 72% who endorsed the reshuffle did not lift his numbers: undecided voters keep breaking against him rather than for him. Coalition friction has turned formal. Evelyn Matthei's public criticism of the original Steinert appointment drew a rebuke from her own party, the Liberty and Development Party, which did not want an ally attacking the government in public. More unusually, the governing coalition handed Mr Kast a written list of demands ahead of his annual address. When a government's own allies make formal demands after less than three months in office, the strain is real.
At the same time, Codelco — the state copper company that generates roughly a fifth of government revenue — is in open crisis. What began last week as an apparent overstatement of roughly 20,000 tonnes at one division has grown: auditors confirmed the fraud ran across two divisions, Chuquicamata and Ministro Hales, totalling approximately 26,875 tonnes of output that was never produced. The board fired one senior executive, referred others to prosecutors, and hired KPMG for an independent audit. It then ordered more than 6,000 workers and managers to return performance bonuses totalling US\$14.3 million — bonuses paid against targets that were artificially met. Unions declared a state of alert and threatened work stoppages. Daniel Mas, the economy minister, said the situation was "unacceptable" and that "Codelco is out of control." Bernardo Fontaine, the incoming board chair, named the KPMG audit as his first act. Mr Mas's declaration may partly reflect a deliberate political strategy — loading blame onto the outgoing board's tenure to insulate Mr Kast ahead of the annual address — but the disruption risk at the world's largest copper producer is real regardless of motive.
Iván Arostíca, a former president of Chile's Constitutional Tribunal and a gun collector, shot and killed an alleged burglar who broke into his home in Santiago. Opposition politicians seized on the incident as evidence that citizens are arming themselves because the government has no concrete security plan — the same argument that drove Ms Steinert's removal. The incident did not change the security picture, but it reinforced the week's central story: that Mr Kast is in trouble on the issue he was elected to fix.
One commitment made abroad has quietly lapsed. After a May 10 meeting with Isaac Herzog, Israel's president, Mr Kast said he would announce the appointment of an ambassador to Tel Aviv "within weeks." Two weeks later, no announcement has come. That commitment had been the clearest signal of a shift in Chile's diplomatic posture under Mr Kast; failing to deliver weakens the case that it represented a durable change rather than a gesture for domestic consumption. Efforts to restore consular ties with Venezuela have produced nothing for five weeks.
The June 1 annual address is the most consequential moment the administration has yet faced. The government is billing it as the launch of a "second phase." Whether it amounts to a genuine new start will depend on what Mr Kast delivers — and whether the coalition members who have already handed him a list of demands find it sufficient.
* **Codelco production overstatement scandal: executive fired, 6,000 workers ordered to return \$14.3M in bonuses, criminal referral filed** — An internal audit at Codelco found that the world's largest copper producer overstated 2025 production by approximately 26,875 tonnes — roughly 2% of annual output — at Chuquicamata and Ministro Hales divisions, allowing year-end targets to be met artificially. The board fired one executive, disciplined several others, and referred the matter to prosecutors. More than 6,000 workers and executives were ordered to return performance bonuses totalling US\$14.3 million, prompting unions to threaten work stoppages. Daniel Mas, the economy minister, called the situation "unacceptable" and said "Codelco is out of control." Máximo Pacheco, the outgoing board chair, was replaced by Bernardo Fontaine, who announced plans for an external KPMG audit.
* [Chile's Kast names new security minister in cabinet shuffle — reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/chiles-kast-names-new-security-minister-cabinet-shuffle-2026-05-20/)
* [Kast Sacks Security Minister Two Months Into His Administration — bloomberg.com](https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-20/kast-sacks-security-minister-two-months-into-his-administration)
* [Golpe de timón temprano: Kast remueve a ministras Steinert y Sedini y busca reordenar agenda de cara al 1 de junio — df.cl](https://www.df.cl/economia-y-politica/gobierno/primer-cambio-de-gabinete-del-gobierno-de-kast-salen-las-ministras)
* [Así queda el nuevo gabinete — 24horas.cl](https://www.24horas.cl/actualidad/nacional/asi-queda-el-nuevo-gabinete-del-presidente-jose-antonio-kast)
* [Presidente Kast remueve a ministras Steinert y Sedini — 24horas.cl](https://www.24horas.cl/actualidad/nacional/presidente-kast-remueve-a-ministras-steinert-y-sedini)
* [La conversación entre Kast y Sedini que selló la caída de la apuesta personal del Presidente — latercera.com](https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/la-conversacion-entre-kast-y-sedini-que-sello-la-caida-de-la-apuesta-personal-del-presidente/)
* [Kast mantiene su esencia: sin mayor participación de los partidos y con su círculo de hierro fortalecido — eldinamo.cl](https://www.eldinamo.cl/politica/2026/05/20/kast-sigue-adelante-sin-los-partidos-y-fortalece-a-su-nucleo/)
* [Cristián Monckeberg: 'A los ministros les falta desplegarse, el desgaste del Presidente es gigante' — biobiochile.cl](https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/chile/2026/05/21/monckeberg-a-los-ministros-les-falta-desplegarse-el-desgaste-del-presidente-es-gigante.shtml)
* [El petitorio que el oficialismo le pone sobre la mesa a Kast de cara a su primera Cuenta Pública — eldinamo.cl](https://www.eldinamo.cl/politica/2026/05/21/el-petitorio-que-el-oficialismo-le-pone-sobre-la-mesa-a-kast-de-cara-a-su-primera-cuenta-publica/)
* [Matthei repasa a Kast y dice que no entiende por qué una fiscal fue nombrada ministra de Seguridad — biobiochile.cl](https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/chile/2026/05/21/matthei-repasa-a-kast-y-dice-que-no-entiende-por-que-una-fiscal-fue-nombrada-ministra-de-seguridad.shtml)
* [Consejo de gabinete: Kast busca llegar a la Cuenta Pública con 'segunda fase' en marcha y estrenar nuevo relato — latercera.com](https://latercera.com/politica/noticia/consejo-de-gabinete-kast-busca-llegar-a-la-cuenta-publica-con-segunda-fase-en-marcha-y-estrenar-nuevo-relato)
* [Kast encabeza su cuarto consejo de gabinete desde Cerro Castillo, el cónclave clave para definir la 'segunda fase' del gobierno — latercera.com](https://latercera.com/politica/noticia/kast-encabeza-su-cuarto-consejo-de-gabinete-desde-cerro-castillo-el-conclave-clave-para-definir-la-segunda-fase-del-gobierno)
* [Matthei por salida de Steinert: 'No entiendo por qué pensaron que un fiscal poseía las capacidades para ser ministro' — chilevision.cl](https://www.chilevision.cl/noticias/nacional/matthei-por-salida-de-steinert-no-entiendo-por-que-pensaron-que-un-fiscal-poseia-las-capacidades-para-ser-ministro/)
* [Matthei cuestiona nombramiento de Steinert y asegura que Ministerio de Seguridad 'debía estar a cargo de un ingeniero' — tiempo21.cl](https://www.tiempo21.cl/matthei-cuestiona-nombramiento-de-steinert-y-asegura-que-ministerio-de-seguridad-debia-estar-a-cargo-de-un-ingeniero/)
* [Libertad y Desarrollo acusa a Matthei de generar ánimo divisivo entre Chile Vamos y La Moneda — eldinamo.cl](https://www.eldinamo.cl/politica/2026/05/22/libertad-y-desarrollo-acusa-a-matthei-de-generar-animo-divisivo-entre-chile-vamos-y-la-moneda/)
* [Kast encabeza consejo de gabinete en busca de inaugurar 'segunda fase' del Gobierno — eldinamo.cl](https://eldinamo.cl/politica/2026/05/22/kast-encabeza-consejo-de-gabinete-en-busca-de-inaugurar-segunda-fase-del-gobierno)
* [Tres presidentes sin luna de miel: por qué Kast, Paz y Orsi tuvieron comienzos de mandato tan complicados — lanacion.com.ar](https://www.lanacion.com.ar/el-mundo/tres-presidentes-sin-luna-de-miel-por-que-kast-paz-y-orsi-tuvieron-comienzos-de-mandato-tan-nid23052026/)
* [ENCUESTA: La inesperada resistencia de Milei y cómo se sostiene mientras otros gobiernos caen — cronista.com](https://www.cronista.com/economia-politica/la-inesperada-resistencia-de-milei-y-como-se-sostiene-mientras-otros-gobiernos-caen/)
* [Turbazo a Aróstica desata nuevas críticas al Gobierno por falta de un plan concreto en Seguridad — biobiochile.cl](https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/chile/2026/05/23/turbazo-a-arostica-desata-nuevas-criticas-al-gobierno-por-falta-de-un-plan-concreto-en-seguridad.shtml)
* [Quién es Iván Aróstica, el expresidente del TC coleccionista de armas que protagonizó una balacera en San Miguel — theclinic.cl](https://www.theclinic.cl/2026/05/22/quien-es-ivan-arostica-el-expresidente-del-tc-coleccionista-de-armas-que-protagonizo-una-balacera-en-san-miguel-que-termino-con-un-delincuente-muerto/)
* [Caricatura de revolución: Dura crítica de Jorge Insunza a Gabriel Boric — reportediario.cl](https://reportediario.cl/2026/05/22/caricatura-de-revolucion-dura-critica-de-jorge-insunza-a-gabriel-boric/)
* [Elizalde critica plan de seguridad de Kast: 'Tres campañas presidenciales, donde era el eje central, asumieron el gobierno y no tenían plan' — cnnchile.com](https://www.cnnchile.com/pais/elizalde-critica-plan-de-seguridad-de-kast-tres-campanas-presidenciales-donde-era-el-eje-central-asumieron-el-gobierno-y-no-tenian-plan/)
* [Récord y debilidad: la drástica decisión que debió tomar Kast en Chile tras desplomarse en las encuestas — eldestapeweb.com](https://www.eldestapeweb.com/internacionales/cambios-gabinete-kast-busca-revitalizar-criticada-gestion-2026524164720)
* [Encuesta Criteria: Aprobación Kast baja al 37% y un 72% valora el cambio de gabinete — cnnchile.com](https://www.cnnchile.com/pais/encuesta-criteria-aprobacion-kast-baja-al-37-y-un-72-valora-el-cambio-de-gabinete/)
* [El diagnóstico de Elizalde: 'Llama la atención el nivel de improvisación de Kast en seguridad' — eldinamo.cl](https://www.eldinamo.cl/politica/2026/05/24/el-diagnostico-de-elizalde-llama-la-atencion-el-nivel-de-improvisacion-de-kast-en-seguridad/)
* [Alvarado y Plan de Seguridad: 'Se están haciendo cosas, pero como que la gente no las percibe' — biobiochile.cl](https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/chile/2026/05/24/alvarado-y-plan-de-seguridad-se-estan-haciendo-cosas-pero-como-que-la-gente-no-las-percibe.shtml)
* [Martínez (FA) atribuye cambio de gabinete al liderazgo de Kast y acusa 'improvisación total' en seguridad — latercera.com](https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/martinez-fa-atribuye-cambio-de-gabinete-al-liderazgo-de-kast-y-acusa-improvisacion-total-en-seguridad/)
* [Criteria: Cae desaprobación al gobierno de Kast tras cambios de gabinete — t13.cl](https://www.t13.cl/noticia/politica/criteria-cae-desaprobacion-al-gobierno-kast-tras-cambios-gabinete-24-5-2026)
* [Criteria: aprobación del Presidente Kast marca un 37% y su desaprobación llega al 49% — latercera.com](https://www.latercera.com/nacional/noticia/criteria-aprobacion-del-presidente-kast-marca-un-37-y-su-desaprobacion-llega-al-49/)
* [Critera: Cae desaprobación de pdte. Kast y 72% estuvo de acuerdo con el cambio de gabinete — chilevision.cl](https://www.chilevision.cl/noticias/nacional/critera-cae-desaprobacion-de-pdte-kast-y-72-estuvo-de-acuerdo-con-el-cambio-de-gabinete/)
* [Lautaro Carmona (PC) califica de 'un fracaso' para el Ejecutivo el cambio de gabinete — latercera.com](https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/lautaro-carmona-pc-califica-de-un-fracaso-para-el-ejecutivo-el-cambio-de-gabinete/)
* [Vodanovic sobre seguridad: 'El Gobierno erró desde el primer día en no tener claro cuáles eran las políticas que pretendía aplicar' — latercera.com](https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/vodanovic-sobre-seguridad-el-gobierno-erro-desde-el-primer-dia-en-no-tener-claro-cuales-eran-las-politicas-que-pretendia-aplicar/)
* [L. Carmona (PC) interpreta cambio de gabinete de Kast como 'un fracaso del gobierno' — nuevopoder.cl](https://www.nuevopoder.cl/l-carmona-pc-interpreta-cambio-de-gabinete-de-kast-como-un-fracaso-del-gobierno/)
* [Martínez acusa improvisación total tras cambio de gabinete de Kast — notichile.cl](https://www.notichile.cl/chile/noticia-chile-martinez-acusa-improvisacion-total-cambio-gabinete-kast-20260525001222.html)
* [Criteria: pese a valorar cambio de gabinete, aprobación ciudadana al Presidente Kast sigue bajando — elmostrador.cl](https://www.elmostrador.cl/noticias/pais/2026/05/24/criteria-pese-a-valorar-cambio-de-gabinete-aprobacion-ciudadana-al-presidente-kast-sigue-bajando/)
* [Criteria: Aprobación de Presidente Kast cae levemente y 72% apoya cambio de gabinete — radioagricultura.cl](https://www.radioagricultura.cl/noticias/politica/criteria-aprobacion-de-presidente-kast-cae-levemente-y-72-apoya-cambio-de-gabinete_20260524/)
* [Claudio Alvarado defendió cambio de gabinete y llamó a la oposición a pasar 'de la negación a la construcción' — theclinic.cl](https://www.theclinic.cl/2026/05/24/claudio-alvarado-defendio-cambio-de-gabinete-y-llamo-a-la-oposicion-a-pasar-de-la-negacion-a-la-construccion)
* [Martín Arrau, nuevo ministro de Seguridad de Kast, pide acción contra la delincuencia — aninoticias.com](https://aninoticias.com/martin-arrau-nuevo-ministro-de-seguridad-de-kast-pide-accion-contra-la-delincuencia/)
* [Tras salida de Steinert, oposición no suelta al Gobierno por seguridad: 'Improvisación total' — elmostrador.cl](https://www.elmostrador.cl/noticias/pais/2026/05/24/tras-salida-de-steinert-oposicion-no-suelta-al-gobierno-por-seguridad-improvisacion-total/)
* [Oposición critica posible fusión de ministerios impulsada por el Gobierno — elmostrador.cl](https://www.elmostrador.cl/noticias/2026/05/24/oposicion-critica-posible-fusion-de-ministerios-impulsada-por-el-gobierno/)
* [Idea de fusionar ministerios toma fuerza en el oficialismo tras última asunción de biministros de Kast — biobiochile.cl](https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/chile/2026/05/24/idea-de-fusionar-ministerios-toma-fuerza-en-el-oficialismo-tras-ultima-asuncion-de-biministros-de-kast.shtml)
* [Tras primera cambio de gabinete: Criteria muestra baja en aprobación de Presidente Kast y creciente preocupación por seguridad — adnradio.cl](https://www.adnradio.cl/2026/05/24/tras-primera-cambio-de-gabinete-criteria-muestra-baja-en-aprobacion-de-presidente-kast-y-creciente-preocupacion-por-seguridad/)
* [Magia y equilibrio en la cuerda floja: biministros y un examen por rendir en la Cuenta Pública — biobiochile.cl](https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/opinion/columnas-bbcl/2026/05/24/magia-y-equilibrio-en-la-cuerda-floja-biministros-y-un-examen-por-rendir-en-la-cuenta-publica.shtml)
* [Milei to Kast: Rightward Parliamentary Shift Across South America — parliamentjournal.com](https://parliamentjournal.com/from-milei-to-kast-the-rightward-parliamentary-shift-across-south-america/)
* [Encuesta Black & White: 57% dice que Kast no ha cumplido en seguridad y su aprobación cae al 32% — miradasurtv.cl](https://miradasurtv.cl/encuesta-black-white-57-dice-que-kast-no-ha-cumplido-en-seguridad-y-su-aprobacion-cae-al-32/)
* [El difícil golpe de timón de Kast — latercera.com](https://latercera.com/politica/noticia/kast-un-ajuste-desgarrador)
* [Alvarado ratifica apoyo del gobierno a Sala Cuna y se impone plazo hasta el 15 de junio para presentar indicaciones en el Senado — cnnchile.com](https://www.cnnchile.com/pais/alvarado-ratifica-apoyo-del-gobierno-a-sala-cuna-y-se-impone-plazo-hasta-el-15-de-junio-para-presentar-indicaciones-en-el-senado/)
* [Alvarado compromete apoyo del gobierno a proyecto de Sala Cuna y asegura que urgencias se definirán con el Senado — latercera.com](https://www.latercera.com/nacional/noticia/alvarado-compromete-apoyo-del-gobierno-a-proyecto-de-sala-cuna-y-asegura-que-urgencias-se-definiran-con-el-senado/)
* [Chile: José Antonio Kast y los errores no forzados — infobae.com](https://www.infobae.com/america/opinion/2026/05/24/chile-jose-antonio-kast-y-los-errores-no-forzados/)
* [Exministro Elizalde critica la megarreforma de Kast: 'Va a comprometer a los próximos seis presidentes de la república' — t13.cl](https://www.t13.cl/noticia/politica/exministro-elizalde-critica-megarreforma-del-kast-va-comprometer-proximos-24-5-2026)
* [Entrevista a Carlos Durán, exjefe de gabinete de Boric: 'La oposición debe ser firme, defender los derechos sociales' — theclinic.cl](https://www.theclinic.cl/2026/05/24/entrevista-a-carlos-duran-exjefe-de-gabinete-de-boric-la-oposicion-debe-ser-firme-defender-los-derechos-sociales-y-cuidar-y-respetar-siempre-la-institucion-presidencial/)
* [Despedir aplaudiendo: La nula autocrítica de un gobierno en eterna campaña — zonazero.cl](https://zonazero.cl/2026/05/despedir-aplaudiendo-la-nula-autocritica-de-un-gobierno-en-eterna-campana-por-mauricio-vidal-guerra/)
* [Es momento de ponerse a trabajar, más allá de las discusiones de los partidos — diarioeldia.cl](https://www.diarioeldia.cl/noticias/2026/05/19/138255-es-momento-de-ponerse-a-trabajar-mas-alla-de-las-discusiones-de-los-partidos)
* [Chile's Codelco fires executive after internal audit into 2025 production report — reuters.com](https://reuters.com/business/chiles-codelco-fires-executive-after-internal-audit-into-2025-production-report-2026-05-21)
* [Codelco fires executive after audit points to 27-year output low — mining.com](https://www.mining.com/codelco-fires-executive-after-audit-points-to-27-year-output-low)
* [Codelco fires executive after audit confirms overstated output — mining.com](https://www.mining.com/codelco-fires-executive-after-audit-confirms-overstated-output)
* [Comité de Auditoría de Codelco contrata a KPMG para investigar denuncia por presuntos 'ascensos irregulares' de dirigentes sindicales — df.cl](https://www.df.cl/empresas/mineria/comite-de-auditoria-de-codelco-contrata-a-kpmg-para-investigar-denuncia-por)
* [Codelco y la sobreestimación de producción — guiaminera.cl](https://www.guiaminera.cl/codelco-y-la-sobreestimacion-de-produccion/)
* [Codelco copper output audit finds 2025 output misclassification — thedeepdive.ca](https://thedeepdive.ca/codelco-copper-production-audit/)
* [Codelco executives disciplined over production reporting breach — mining.com.au](https://mining.com.au/codelco-executives-disciplined-over-production-reporting-breach/)
* [Codelco reconoce irregularidades en producción y activa denuncia penal contra ejecutivos — poderyliderazgo.cl](https://www.poderyliderazgo.cl/codelco-reconoce-irregularidades-en-produccion-y-activa-denuncia-penal-contra-ejecutivos/)
* [Codelco Eyes US\$2 Billion Overhaul of Northern Copper Mines — investingnews.com](https://investingnews.com/codelco-copper-mine-overhaul)
* [US\$14,3 millones: Codelco exigirá devolución de bonos a más de 6 mil trabajadores — 24horas.cl](https://www.24horas.cl/actualidad/economia/us-14-3-millones-codelco-exigira-devolucion-de-bonos-a-mas-de-6-mil-trabajadores)
* [El ejecutivo despedido de Codelco por sobreproducción que derivó en bonos por US\$14 millones — ex-ante.cl](https://www.ex-ante.cl/crisis-en-codelco-quien-es-el-alto-ejecutivo-removido-tras-auditoria-y-la-trama-que-derivo-en-bonos-por-us-14-millones/)
* ['Es inaceptable': Gobierno y parlamentarios exigen mayores controles tras caso de sobrevaloración en Codelco — radio.uchile.cl](https://radio.uchile.cl/2026/05/22/es-inaceptable-gobierno-y-parlamentarios-exigen-mayores-controles-tras-caso-de-sobrevaloracion-en-codelco/)
* [Gobierno chileno califica de 'inaceptable' sobreestimación de 27 mil toneladas en Codelco — rumbominero.com](https://www.rumbominero.com/chile/gobierno-chileno-califica-de-inaceptable-sobreestimacion-de-27-mil-toneladas-en-codelco/)
* [CRISIS EN CODELCO: PARLAMENTARIOS EXIGEN SANCIONES Y NUEVOS CONTROLES INTERNOS — radiopolar.com](https://www.radiopolar.com/crisis-codelco-parlamentarios-exigen-sanciones-controles-internos)
* [Sobreestimación en Codelco generó bonos por US\$14 millones — antofagasta.tv](https://www.antofagasta.tv/categoria/mineria/sobreestimacion-codelco-genero-bonos-us-14-millones)
* [Tamara Agnic, directora de Codelco: 'Una denuncia de esta naturaleza no podía quedar en el bolsillo de nadie' — df.cl](https://www.df.cl/senal-df/el-deal/tamara-agnic-directora-de-codelco-una-denuncia-de-esta-naturaleza-no)
* [El 'incómodo' Pacheco: El complejo adiós al liderazgo de Codelco y su futuro en la estatal — emol.com](https://www.emol.com/noticias/Economia/2026/05/22/1200724/salida-maximo-pacheco-codelco-gobierno.html)
* [El aterrizaje de Bernardo Fontaine en Codelco: tendrá su primer directorio y propondrá realizar una auditoría externa a la empresa — theclinic.cl](https://www.theclinic.cl/2026/05/23/el-aterrizaje-de-bernardo-fontaine-en-codelco-tendra-su-primer-directorio-y-propondra-realizar-una-auditoria-externa-a-la-empresa/)
* [El temprano cambio de gabinete y la escalada de la crisis de Codelco marcaron la agenda de la semana — df.cl](https://www.df.cl/senal-df/doble-shot/el-temprano-cambio-de-gabinete-y-la-escalada-de-la-crisis-de-codelco)
* [Columna de Opinión | Codelco: una agenda estratégica de largo plazo — portalinnova.cl](https://portalinnova.cl/columna-de-opinion-codelco-una-agenda-estrategica-de-largo-plazo/)
* [Codelco mantiene meta de recuperar producción de cobre hacia 2030 — rumbominero.com](https://www.rumbominero.com/peru/noticias/internacionales/codelco-mantiene-meta-de-recuperar-produccion-de-cobre-hacia-2030/)
* [Oil Markets Ignore Red Flags as Global Energy Crisis Deepens — oilprice.com](https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Oil-Markets-Ignore-Red-Flags-as-Global-Energy-Crisis-Deepens.html)
* [Trabajadores de Codelco en estado de alerta ante exigencia de devolver US\$143 millones en bonos por error de producción — radio.uchile.cl](https://radio.uchile.cl/2026/05/23/trabajadores-de-codelco-en-estado-de-alerta-ante-exigencia-de-devolver-us143-millones-en-bonos-por-error-de-produccion/)
* [Polémica en Codelco: Más de 6 mil trabajadores deberán devolver bono por producción — chilevision.cl](https://www.chilevision.cl/noticias/nacional/polemica-en-codelco-mas-de-6-mil-trabadores-deberan-devolver-bono-por-produccion/)
* [Codelco exigirá devolución de bonos a más de 6 mil trabajadores tras error en cifras de producción — cnnchile.com](https://www.cnnchile.com/negocios/codelco-devolucion-bonos-trabajadores-produccion/)
* [Trabajadores de Codelco no descartan movilizaciones tras anuncio de devolución de bonos por USD 14,3 millones — eldinamo.cl](https://www.eldinamo.cl/economia/negocios-economia/2026/05/23/trabajadores-de-codelco-no-descartan-movilizaciones-tras-anuncio-de-devolucion-de-bonos-por-usd-143-millones-estamos-en-alerta/)
* ['Estamos en alerta': sindicatos de Codelco amenazan con paralización por devolución de US\$14 millones en bonos — adnradio.cl](https://www.adnradio.cl/2026/05/23/estamos-en-alerta-sindicatos-de-codelco-amenazan-con-paralizacion-por-devolucion-de-us14-millones-en-bonos/)
* [Caso Codelco un problema de imagen y reputación corporativa — elzorronortino.cl](https://www.elzorronortino.cl/columnas/caso-codelco-un-problema-de-imagen-y-reputacion-corporativa/)
* [Codelco Inflated Copper Output, Demands \$14.3M Bonus Return — riotimesonline.com](https://www.riotimesonline.com/chile-codelco-copper-overstatement-bonus-recall-may-2026/)
* [Más de 6 mil trabajadores de Codelco deben devolver bonos por cifras infladas — cooperativa.cl](https://www.cooperativa.cl/noticias/pais/empresas-del-estado/codelco/mas-de-6-mil-trabajadores-de-codelco-deben-devolver-bonos-por-cifras/2026-05-24/142413.html)
* [Mullet por querella a Codelco: 'es muy difícil de fiscalizar a fondo' — t13.cl](https://www.t13.cl/noticia/politica/mullet-por-querella-codelco-no-diria-esta-fuera-control-pero-si-se-han-cometido-24-5-2026)
* [Mullet por querella a Codelco: 'No diría que está fuera de control, pero sí se han cometido errores graves durante los últimos 15 años' — nostalgica.cl](https://www.nostalgica.cl/mullet-por-querella-a-codelco-no-diria-que-esta-fuera-de-control-pero-si-se-han-cometido-errores-graves-durante-los-ultimos-15-anos/)
* [Máximo Pacheco se despide de Codelco con carta a líderes mineros: destaca litio y joint ventures — elmostrador.cl](https://www.elmostrador.cl/noticias/pais/2026/05/24/maximo-pacheco-se-despide-de-codelco-con-carta-a-lideres-mineros-destaca-litio-y-joint-ventures-2/)
* —